Justin Jefferson
Cleveland Browns·#17·6'0"·223 lb·AlabamaJustin Jefferson is an MLB for the Cleveland Browns on a deal paying $1.2M a year through 2029, a $1.0M cap hit in 2026 (updated October 30, 2026).
STM Take
An elite receiver dragged down by a broken quarterback situation.
The case for
- 2022 NFL OPOY + two first-team All-Pros + four Pro Bowls + 2022 NFL receptions and yards titles; the resume is locked in the all-time elite tier.
- Recent game log still shows the talent: 18.4 PPR Week 18, 14.5 PPR Week 16 in a broken QB ecosystem.
The worry
- 36-rank slide is by far the steepest in the entire WR top-50; the QB-driven story can mask but not erase the data point.
- Three consecutive sub-5 PPR weeks (Wk 13-15) show the floor when McCarthy struggles.
What to watch: Whether J.J. McCarthy's year-three jump (or a system change) restores Jefferson to tier-1; the talent has not moved.
Full take and bio
Jefferson's drop from STTM #5 tier 1 in 2024 to #41 tier 6 in 2025 is the steepest WR fall on the board, driven entirely by J.J. McCarthy's tier-8 QB rank in his year-two debut. The 2022 OPOY and two first-team All-Pro selections sit on his resume; the 2025 rank reflects a QB ecosystem in crisis. Tier 6 is not a Justin Jefferson floor; it is a J.J. McCarthy floor.
Jefferson was born in St. Rose, Louisiana, attended Destrehan High, and won the 2019 CFP national title at LSU as the co-NCAA receptions leader. Minnesota took him 22nd overall in the 2020 NFL Draft. He won 2022 NFL Offensive Player of the Year, has been first-team All-Pro twice (2022, 2024), and has four Pro Bowls. He also led the NFL in receptions and receiving yards in 2022.
Comps
Built like: Jordon Dizon, Freddy Keiaho, Jacob Rodriguez.
Justin Jefferson Props This Weekat DET Sun Nov 1
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 5.5 | -129 DraftKings | +112 FanDuel |
| Receiving yards | 77.5 | -113 DraftKings | -111 DraftKings |
| Longest reception | 26.5 | -106 DraftKings | -122 DraftKings |
| Anytime TD | +185 DraftKings |
Best price across 9 books as of Fri Oct 30. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
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Justin Jefferson Injury StatusOut
Justin Jefferson is listed Out (Coach's Decision), reported Oct 25. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
Draft & College
Undrafted in 2026.
Contract2026 cap
Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.