T'Vondre Sweat
Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 12 games
Draft & College
He went well ahead of consensus.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
2023 Outland Trophy plus Big 12 DPOY plus the 38th overall draft slot established elite expectations, but tier 7 (#53) rookie to tier 8 (#58) sophomore puts Sweat in the negative draft-slot-vs-outcome class. The Texas pedigree plus the Outland Trophy makes the year-two regression flag real concern. The 2026 question is whether Sweat crosses into tier 5-6 territory or whether the structural tier 8 ceiling caps below the expected outcome.
Sweat came out of Texas as the Tennessee Titans' 2nd-round pick (38th overall) in 2024 after winning the 2023 Outland Trophy as the nation's top interior lineman plus the 2023 Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year. The Titans installed him as a structural nose tackle from his rookie year. His STTM career runs tier 7 (#53) rookie to tier 8 (#58) sophomore, a 5-spot regression within the tier 7-8 band.
Strengths
- 2023 Outland Trophy plus Big 12 DPOY plus the 38th overall draft slot establishes elite college foundation.
- Two seasons of structural starter snaps for the Titans at age 22-23 gives him the developmental runway.
Concerns
- Tier 7 (#53) rookie to tier 8 (#58) sophomore regression for a 2nd-round Outland Trophy winner is the wrong direction.
- Tennessee's broader defensive identity around the QB instability plus the multi-year rebuild compresses the structural support around Sweat.
What to watch: Whether Sweat crosses into tier 5 (top 40) in 2026, the standard year-three threshold for 2nd-round IDL picks on Pro Bowl trajectories.
