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2011 Week 9 · Giants at Patriots

Patriots vs Giants, 2011 Week 9: down 4, 2:58 left, 1st and 10 at your own 36.

What really happened

Bill Belichick was calling it for the Patriots. His first call: Tom Brady hit Deion Branch for 15 yards. The real drive ended in a touchdown. The Patriots lost 24-20 to the Giants.

The plays that swung it

1. Q4 2:01

   Tom Brady hit Rob Gronkowski for 19 yards.

   +10 points of win chance

2. Q4 1:44

   Tom Brady's pass to Rob Gronkowski fell incomplete.

   -9 points of win chance

3. Q4 1:40

   Tom Brady hit Rob Gronkowski for a 14-yard touchdown.

   +35 points of win chance

Win chance is the share of games like this one, from that spot, that the team went on to win.

More endings

• Could you have saved the Patriots? 2022 Week 15 vs the Raiders, tied with 32 seconds left2022 Week 15, Patriots at Raiders
• Can you do what the Patriots did? 2017 Week 3 vs the Texans, down 5 with 2:24 left2017 Week 3, Texans at Patriots
• Could you have saved the Patriots? 2021 Week 6 vs the Cowboys, up 1 with 2:42 left2021 Week 6, Cowboys at Patriots
• Can you do what the Patriots did? 2011 Week 6 vs the Cowboys, down 3 with 2:31 left2011 Week 6, Cowboys at Patriots
• Can you do what the Patriots did? 2018 AFC Championship vs the Chiefs, down 4 with 1:57 left2018 AFC Championship, Patriots at Chiefs

Every famous ending · What lost it this week