49ers passing game, 2nd, against a pass defense ranked 31st.
Longer bar, better unit.
Dolphins with the ball
Dolphins offense49ers defense
27th
Passing
5th
14th
Run game
7th
3rd
Pass rush
15th
15th
Third down
15th
10th
Big plays
2nd
26th
Turnovers
16th
25th
Red zone
5th
49ers with the ball
49ers offenseDolphins defense
2nd
Passing
31st
4th
Run game
30th
6th
Pass rush
25th
2nd
Third down
32nd
4th
Big plays
21st
11th
Turnovers
19th
1st
Red zone
18th
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 6 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.
Dolphins scored 13 against a team total of 16: under.
Dolphins scored 13 against a team total of 16: under. the spread and total, split.
49ers scored 35 against a team total of 28.5: over. the spread and total, split.
49ers have covered 6 of 7 as a home favorite with extra rest.
49ers have covered 6 of 7 as a home favorite with extra restcovered
33 of 66 everywhere else, 2022-2026, Shanahan and Purdy · points to 49ers -12.5
6 of 7in this spot
49ers have covered 7 of 10 as a favorite with extra restcovered
32 of 63 everywhere else, 2022-2026, Shanahan and Purdy · points to 49ers -12.5
7 of 10in this spot
Dolphins have covered 2 of the last 3 meetings
Last time, 2024 week 16: 49ers 17, Dolphins 29, Dolphins covered.
2-1against the spread
The situations on the schedule that fit this game.
This week · Dolphins after losing by 14 or more with three or more fewer days of rest with the worse head coach by two tiers
43-23
this game200020052010201520202025
43 covered23 did notevery game since 1999, 65%; since 2021 11-6
The last time the Dolphins were here, Sep 20, 2026: lost to the 49ers by 22 as a 12.5-point underdog.
Inside the luck line: 66 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Dolphins.
This week · 49ers after winning by 14 or more in the first four weeks with a head coach in year eight or later with the team
27-46
this game200020052010201520202025
27 covered46 did notevery game since 1999, 37%; since 2021 3-15
The last time the 49ers were here, Sep 20, 2026: beat the Dolphins by 22 as a 12.5-point favorite.
Inside the luck line: 73 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Dolphins.
This week · Dolphins with three or more fewer days of rest with a head coach in his first 17 games in the late-afternoon window
22-38
this game200020052010201520202025
22 covered38 did notevery game since 1999, 37%; since 2021 5-14
The last time the Dolphins were here, Nov 2, 2008: beat the Broncos by 9 as a 4-point underdog.
Inside the luck line: 60 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the 49ers.
Searched this week: 1,401 spread situations and 79 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.01 on the spread and 3.21 on the total.
Christian McCaffrey has 9 of his last 9 games outdoors as a favorite with a rushing touchdown.
Christian McCaffreyRBhit, 2 rush TD
Christian McCaffrey has 9 of his last 9 games outdoors as a favorite with a rushing touchdown. 9 of 21 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
9 of 9last 9
George KittleTEhit, 80 rec yds
George Kittle has 8 of his last 9 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards. 4 of 10 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
8 of 9last 9
Brock PurdyQBhit, 287 pass yds
Brock Purdy has 6 of his last 9 games at home with 250+ passing yards. 11 of 25 everywhere else, 2024-2026.
6 of 9last 9
4 more player trends
Mike EvansWRhit, 54 rec yds
Mike Evans has 6 of his last 9 games at home with 50+ receiving yards. 15 of 30 everywhere else, 2024-2026.
6 of 9last 9
Christian McCaffreyRBmissed, 23 rush yds
Christian McCaffrey has 9 of his last 9 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards. 8 of 13 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
9 of 9last 9
George KittleTEhit, 1 rec TD
George Kittle has 6 of his last 9 games as a favorite with a receiving touchdown. 4 of 10 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
6 of 9last 9
Brock PurdyQBhit, 2 pass TD
Brock Purdy has 6 of his last 9 games outdoors as a favorite with 2+ passing touchdowns. 8 of 14 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
6 of 9last 9
No player line on this game was archived with a read.
Dolphins with the ball
49ers with the ball
