Brock Purdy
San Francisco 49ers·#13Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
Purdy is back at STTM #3 tier 1 in 2025 after a tier-3 dip to #11 in 2024, restoring the 2023 league-leader baseline as the actual ceiling. Two of three years as a starter at tier 1 in a stacked QB room is a real profile, not a Shanahan halo. The 2024 dip looks more like an injury-thin offense than a regression in Purdy himself.
Purdy was born in Queen Creek, Arizona, started at Iowa State after Kempt's injury, and finished his college career as a two-time first-team All-Big 12 selection. San Francisco took him with the final pick of the 2022 NFL Draft (262nd overall), making him Mr. Irrelevant. He took over as a rookie after Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo went down, led the league in passer rating in 2023, set the 49ers' single-season passing record, and steered San Francisco to Super Bowl LVIII.
Strengths
- Tier 1 in two of three years as the 49ers' starter, with an NFL passer rating title in 2023.
- 67.9 percent career completion percentage on 1,353 attempts, an unusually clean efficiency profile this early in a career.
Concerns
- The 2024 drop to STTM #11 tier 3 showed how quickly the floor falls when the supporting cast misses time.
- Career sample is only three full starting seasons; one of them was tier 3, which is a real data point until proven otherwise.
What to watch: Whether the 2024 dip repeats if Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk, or Deebo Samuel miss extended time again.
Comps
Names you know nearby: Andy Dalton ’11 59%.
Of his 20 closest coming out: 6 stars, 1 starter, 6 backups, 7 didn't stick.
Brock Purdy Props This Weekat SEA Sun Oct 11
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 227.5 | -105 BetMGM | -111 DraftKings |
| Passing TDs | 1.5 | +111 DraftKings | -129 BetRivers |
| Completions | 20.5 | -116 DraftKings | +100 BetMGM |
| Pass attempts | 32.5 | -109 DraftKings | -115 BetMGM |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | -156 BetOnline | +130 Bovada |
| Rushing yards | 22.5 | -113 DraftKings | -111 DraftKings |
| Longest rush | 10.5 | -116 DraftKings | -111 DraftKings |
| Anytime TD | +600 FanDuel |
Best price across 9 books as of Fri Oct 9. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
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Brock Purdy Injury StatusNot listed
Brock Purdy is not on the injury report as of Oct 9. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
Brock Purdy Stats This Season · 4 games
Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats
Draft & College
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Brock Purdy Fantasy Outlook
Brock Purdy scored 100 PPR points, 25.1 per game this season. Compare him against any QB and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.