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Mike Evans

San Francisco 49ers·#5
Pos WRHt 6'5"Wt 231 lbExp 12 yrCollege Texas A&M
Updated September 21, 2026

Model Score

79.3 MODEL
2016
90.7
2017
87.7
2018
89.8
2019
90.7
2020
86.7
2021
86.7
2022
86.7
2023
86.2
2024
86.7
2025
79.3

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 1 games

6
Rec
49
Rec Yds
1
Rec TD
7
Targets
49.0
Yds/Gm
16.9
Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

1.542
EPA / target
1.9 yd
Avg separation
5.5 yd
Avg cushion
-1.4
YAC over exp
85.7%
Catch %

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 7 · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 2014
Texas A&M (SEC)
Taken
#7
where he actually went
Consensus board
7th
average of the public big boards that spring

He went about where consensus had him.

Coming out
4.53s
40 yd
12 reps
Bench
37"
Vertical
7.08s
3-cone
4.26s
Shuttle

Comps

College career
his college career vs theirs

STM Take

The 2024 #14 (tier 2) to 2025 #67 (tier 8) crash with the duplicate-row game log (Wks 16-19 alternating zeros with 5-19 PPR weeks) confirms the season ended on injury. The 11-year 1,000-yard streak (NFL record) plus a career 14,000+ receiving yards establish a Hall-of-Fame baseline. At 32 with the broken streak, the 2026 question is whether the body returns to even tier 4 territory.

Evans came out of Texas A&M as Tampa Bay's 1st-round pick (7th overall) in 2014 after a sophomore season with Johnny Manziel. He set the NFL record for consecutive 1,000-yard receiving seasons to start a career, hitting that milestone every year from 2014 through 2024 (11 straight). He won Super Bowl LV, made five Pro Bowls, and reached tier 1 (#7 in 2019) at his peak. The 2025 #67 (tier 8) finish broke the 1,000-yard streak and represents the steepest single-season decline of his career, almost certainly injury-driven given the game log pattern.

Strengths

  • NFL-record 11 consecutive 1,000-yard receiving seasons to start a career (2014-2024), five Pro Bowls, Super Bowl LV ring. Career 14,000+ receiving yards is Hall-of-Fame territory.
  • Wks 15-17 2025 produced 19.2, 14.1, and 12.1 PPR; the contested-catch ceiling remains intact when health and game script align.

Concerns

  • Crash from tier 2 (#14) in 2024 to tier 8 (#67) in 2025 is the worst single-season decline of his career. The 11-year 1,000-yard streak broke on this season's missed games.
  • At 32 with injury patterns now appearing late-season, the durability question is structural. Chris Godwin's status plus Emeka Egbuka's emergence compress the WR room.

What to watch: Whether Tampa Bay retains him for 2026 or whether the Buccaneers begin the post-Evans transition, because the 2025 sample says the streak-ending injury was a turning point.

Fantasy Outlook

Mike Evans scored 17 PPR points, 16.9 per game this season. Compare him against any WR and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.

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