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Mike Evans

WR·San Francisco 49ers·#5·6'5"·231 lb·12th year·Texas A&M
Tier 1Round 1, pick 7 in 2014
Updated November 4, 2026
89.8
Model Score
Up from 74.8 last year
Trade value ·a 3rd

Mike Evans has 27 catches, 420 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns in 6 games for the San Francisco 49ers this season through Week 8, 15.5 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Up 15.0 from last season.

70809010089.820162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A Hall of Fame receiver whose body is starting to talk.

The case for

  • NFL-record 11 consecutive 1,000-yard receiving seasons to start a career (2014-2024), five Pro Bowls, Super Bowl LV ring. Career 14,000+ receiving yards is Hall-of-Fame territory.
  • Wks 15-17 2025 produced 19.2, 14.1, and 12.1 PPR; the contested-catch ceiling remains intact when health and game script align.

The worry

  • Crash from tier 2 (#14) in 2024 to tier 8 (#67) in 2025 is the worst single-season decline of his career. The 11-year 1,000-yard streak broke on this season's missed games.
  • At 32 with injury patterns now appearing late-season, the durability question is structural. Chris Godwin's status plus Emeka Egbuka's emergence compress the WR room.

What to watch: Whether Tampa Bay retains him for 2026 or whether the Buccaneers begin the post-Evans transition, because the 2025 sample says the streak-ending injury was a turning point.

Full take and bio

The 2024 #14 (tier 2) to 2025 #67 (tier 8) crash with the duplicate-row game log (Wks 16-19 alternating zeros with 5-19 PPR weeks) confirms the season ended on injury. The 11-year 1,000-yard streak (NFL record) plus a career 14,000+ receiving yards establish a Hall-of-Fame baseline. At 32 with the broken streak, the 2026 question is whether the body returns to even tier 4 territory.

Evans came out of Texas A&M as Tampa Bay's 1st-round pick (7th overall) in 2014 after a sophomore season with Johnny Manziel. He set the NFL record for consecutive 1,000-yard receiving seasons to start a career, hitting that milestone every year from 2014 through 2024 (11 straight). He won Super Bowl LV, made five Pro Bowls, and reached tier 1 (#7 in 2019) at his peak. The 2025 #67 (tier 8) finish broke the 1,000-yard streak and represents the steepest single-season decline of his career, almost certainly injury-driven given the game log pattern.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Terance Mathis, Ed McCaffrey, John Taylor. Built like: Jordy Nelson, Allen Lazard, Marques Colston. Coming out: A.J. Green, Jordy Nelson, Maurice Stovall.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 8 starters, 4 backups, 5 didn't stick.

Mike Evans Injury StatusQuestionable

Mike Evans is listed Questionable (Achilles), reported Oct 26. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 6 games

Rec2736th
Rec Yds42023rd
Rec TD48th
Targets4042nd
Yds/Gm70.016th
Fantasy PPG15.515th
EPA / target1.8541st
Avg separation1.8 yd58th
Avg cushion5.4 yd
YAC over exp0.532nd
Catch %65.6%

15.5 fantasy points a game, 93 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$4.2M
APY
$14.2M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$14.3M
Years on Deal
3
Signed
2026
Est. Value
$13.3M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Mike Evans at WR23 (the public consensus says WR21); the model has 112 PPR points left for him this season.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 7 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2014, out of Texas A&M (SEC). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#7
Consensus board7th

Coming out: 4.53s 40 yd, 12 reps bench, 37" vertical, 7.08s 3-cone, 4.26s shuttle.

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