Mike Evans

San Francisco 49ers·#13

Pos WRHt 6'5"Wt 231 lbExp 11 yrCollege Texas A&M

WR rankings →

Model Score

78.7 MODEL

2016

76.1

2017

79.2

2018

83.4

2019

85.1

2020

82.7

2021

84.6

2022

82.5

2023

84.2

2024

85.5

2025

78.7

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 8 games

3082nd

Rec

36877th

Rec Yds

351st

Rec TD

6260th

Targets

46.040th

Yds/Gm

10.640th

Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

1.12849th

EPA / target

2.0 yd108th

Avg separation

5.5 yd

Avg cushion

-0.7100th

YAC over exp

50.1%

Catch %

STM Take

The 2024 #14 (tier 2) to 2025 #67 (tier 8) crash with the duplicate-row game log (Wks 16-19 alternating zeros with 5-19 PPR weeks) confirms the season ended on injury. The 11-year 1,000-yard streak (NFL record) plus a career 14,000+ receiving yards establish a Hall-of-Fame baseline. At 32 with the broken streak, the 2026 question is whether the body returns to even tier 4 territory.

Evans came out of Texas A&M as Tampa Bay's 1st-round pick (7th overall) in 2014 after a sophomore season with Johnny Manziel. He set the NFL record for consecutive 1,000-yard receiving seasons to start a career, hitting that milestone every year from 2014 through 2024 (11 straight). He won Super Bowl LV, made five Pro Bowls, and reached tier 1 (#7 in 2019) at his peak. The 2025 #67 (tier 8) finish broke the 1,000-yard streak and represents the steepest single-season decline of his career, almost certainly injury-driven given the game log pattern.

Strengths

NFL-record 11 consecutive 1,000-yard receiving seasons to start a career (2014-2024), five Pro Bowls, Super Bowl LV ring. Career 14,000+ receiving yards is Hall-of-Fame territory.
Wks 15-17 2025 produced 19.2, 14.1, and 12.1 PPR; the contested-catch ceiling remains intact when health and game script align.

Concerns

Crash from tier 2 (#14) in 2024 to tier 8 (#67) in 2025 is the worst single-season decline of his career. The 11-year 1,000-yard streak broke on this season's missed games.
At 32 with injury patterns now appearing late-season, the durability question is structural. Chris Godwin's status plus Emeka Egbuka's emergence compress the WR room.

What to watch: Whether Tampa Bay retains him for 2026 or whether the Buccaneers begin the post-Evans transition, because the 2025 sample says the streak-ending injury was a turning point.