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Week 3 · Sunday Sep 27 · Final

SeahawksatCommanders

All week 3 games→Betting HQ→
FinalSEA 31, WAS 33Commanders by 2
SpreadSEA -8.5Commanders covered
Total40.5went over, 64 points
OpenedSEA -3.5moved 5 points by kickoff

The passing game. Expect the Commanders to find nowhere to throw.

Sunday: Commanders threw for 183 yards and 3 touchdowns.

The model's reads, Under 41.5: it lost.

The depth charts as they stand today.

Seattle depth chart →Washington depth chart →

Seahawks pass defense, 4th, against a passing game ranked 22nd.

Longer bar, better unit.

Seahawks with the ball

Seahawks offenseCommanders defense
17th
Passing
14th
31st
Run game
17th
30th
Pass rush
21st
23rd
Third down
16th
21st
Big plays
4th
28th
Turnovers
23rd
24th
Red zone
29th

Commanders with the ball

Commanders offenseSeahawks defense
22nd
Passing
4th
25th
Run game
5th
21st
Pass rush
3rd
32nd
Third down
2nd
19th
Big plays
1st
1st
Turnovers
5th
16th
Red zone
31st

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 9 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.

Seahawks scored 31 against a team total of 24.5: over.

Seahawks scored 31 against a team total of 24.5: over. the spread and total, split.

Commanders scored 33 against a team total of 16: over. the spread and total, split.

The situations on the schedule that fit this game.

This week · Seahawks with a total of 41 or under in an early body-clock kickoff
92-127
this game200020052010201520202025
92 covered127 did notevery game since 1999, 42%; since 2021 18-14

The last time the Seahawks were here, Oct 2, 2000: lost to the Chiefs by 7 as a 4-point underdog.

Inside the luck line: 219 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Commanders.

This week · Commanders as an underdog of 7 or more against a team on a three-game cover streak in the first four weeks
39-19
this game200020052010201520202025
39 covered19 did notevery game since 1999, 67%; since 2021 9-1

The last time the Commanders were here, Sep 24, 2001: lost to the Packers by 37 as a 8.5-point underdog.

Inside the luck line: 58 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Commanders.

This week · Seahawks on a three-game cover streak in the first four weeks with the better quarterback by two tiers
45-69
this game200020052010201520202025
45 covered69 did notevery game since 1999, 39%; since 2021 10-12

The last time the Seahawks were here, Sep 7, 2003: beat the Saints by 17 as a 3-point favorite.

Inside the luck line: 114 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Commanders.

Searched this week: 1,571 spread situations and 77 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.03 on the spread and 3.35 on the total.

No player line on this game was archived with a read.

Nothing was on the official card for this game.

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