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Week 3 · Sunday Sep 27 · Final

VikingsatBuccaneers

FinalMIN 23, TB 16Vikings by 7
SpreadMIN -1.5Vikings covered
Total42.5stayed under, 39 points
OpenedTB -1.5moved 0 points by kickoff

The passing game. Expect the Buccaneers to find nowhere to throw.

Sunday: Buccaneers threw for 217 yards and 1 touchdown.

The model's reads, Over 45.5: it lost.

The depth charts as they stand today.

Vikings pass defense, 1st, against a passing game ranked 31st.

Longer bar, better unit.

Vikings with the ball

Vikings offenseBuccaneers defense
24th
Passing
3rd
29th
Run game
3rd
13th
Pass rush
29th
19th
Third down
4th
17th
Big plays
5th
9th
Turnovers
1st
25th
Red zone
6th

Buccaneers with the ball

Buccaneers offenseVikings defense
31st
Passing
1st
5th
Run game
11th
26th
Pass rush
1st
30th
Third down
3rd
14th
Big plays
19th
29th
Turnovers
8th
29th
Red zone
1st

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 9 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.

Vikings scored 23 against a team total of 22: over.

Vikings scored 23 against a team total of 22: over. the spread and total, split.

Buccaneers scored 16 against a team total of 20.5: under. the spread and total, split.

The situations on the schedule that fit this game.

This week · Buccaneers in a pick 'em after three straight misses against the spread against a team on a three-game cover streak
26-16
this game200020052010201520202025
26 covered16 did notevery game since 1999, 62%; since 2021 8-6

The last time the Buccaneers were here, Nov 12, 2017: beat the Jets by 5 as a 1-point favorite.

Inside the luck line: 42 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Buccaneers.

This week · Vikings on a three-game cover streak against a team that has missed three straight covers with the better head coach by two tiers
31-21
this game200020052010201520202025
31 covered21 did notevery game since 1999, 60%; since 2021 8-2

The last time the Vikings were here, Nov 16, 2014: lost to the Bears by 8 as a 2.5-point underdog.

Inside the luck line: 52 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Vikings.

Searched this week: 1,571 spread situations and 77 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.03 on the spread and 3.35 on the total.

No player line on this game was archived with a read.

Nothing was on the official card for this game.