Aaron Jones

Minnesota Vikings·#33

Pos RBHt 5'9"Wt 208 lbExp 9 yrCollege Texas-El Paso

Updated September 21, 2026

RB rankings →

Model Score

83.1 MODEL

2018

89.0

2019

89.8

2020

89.0

2021

87.7

2022

90.7

2023

87.7

2024

84.0

2025

83.1

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 1 games

Rush Yds

Rush TD

Rec

Rec Yds

Total TD

10.0

Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

-0.087

EPA / rush

-1

Rush yds over exp

4.78

Efficiency

2.80s

Time to line

Draft & College

Round 5, pick 182 · Green Bay Packers · 2017

UTEP (Conference USA)

Taken

#182

where he actually went

Consensus board

281st

average of the public big boards that spring

Our college model

#103

among RB in our college data

He went earlier than consensus.

In college · 2014-2016 · 23 games · partial record

2,833 rush yds, 19 TD, 6.3 yds/carry, 54 rec

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Coming out

4.56s

40 yd

16 reps

Bench

37.5"

Vertical

127"

Broad

6.82s

3-cone

4.2s

Shuttle

STM Take

The Aaron Jones career arc is now clearly in its final chapter. From two top-10 finishes (#6 in 2019, #7 in 2021) to #11 in 2023, #21 in 2024, and #38 in 2025, the trajectory is monotonic. The eight-game late-2025 sample (peak of 15.3 PPR with a 0-0-0 string across Wks 16-19 in the duplicate game logs) shows what age-32 RB usage looks like when the offense moves to a younger committee.

Jones came out of UTEP as Green Bay's 5th-round pick (182nd overall) in 2017, one of the great mid-round value picks of the decade. He made two Pro Bowls with the Packers (2020, 2023), posted four 1,000-yard rushing seasons (including a 16-touchdown 2019), and was the focal point of multiple Green Bay playoff runs. He signed with Minnesota in March 2024 and put up a tier-6 #21 first season, then re-signed for 2025 ahead of his age-32 campaign.

Strengths

Two Pro Bowls, four 1,000-yard rushing seasons, and a career 4.9 YPC are a Hall-of-Very-Good production line that few backs of his era will match.
Career receiving production (250+ catches across 9 seasons) keeps him relevant on third downs even when the early-down workload thins, which is exactly the role he played most of 2025.

Concerns

The STTM arc from #6 (2019) to #38 (2025) is the textbook decline curve for a back entering his 30s. The 0-0-0 stretch across Wks 16-19 (per the duplicate game logs) shows the Vikings have already shifted to the next body.
At 32 with five 1,000-touch seasons behind him, the injury floor only gets lower and the per-touch efficiency continues to drop.

What to watch: Whether Minnesota retains him for 2026 as a veteran piece or releases him to clear cap and reps for a younger committee build around Jordan Mason.