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Aaron Jones

RB·Minnesota Vikings·#33·5'9"·208 lb·9th year·Texas-El Paso
Tier 1Round 5, pick 182 in 2017
Updated November 4, 2026
83.5
Model Score
Up from 76.6 last year
Trade value ·a 7th

Aaron Jones has 110 carries for 458 yards, 2 rushing touchdowns and 15 catches for 90 yards in 7 games for the Minnesota Vikings this season through Week 8, 11.7 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Up 6.9 from last season.

70809010083.5201820192020202120222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A former star back fading into a committee role.

The case for

  • Two Pro Bowls, four 1,000-yard rushing seasons, and a career 4.9 YPC are a Hall-of-Very-Good production line that few backs of his era will match.
  • Career receiving production (250+ catches across 9 seasons) keeps him relevant on third downs even when the early-down workload thins, which is exactly the role he played most of 2025.

The worry

  • The STTM arc from #6 (2019) to #38 (2025) is the textbook decline curve for a back entering his 30s. The 0-0-0 stretch across Wks 16-19 (per the duplicate game logs) shows the Vikings have already shifted to the next body.
  • At 32 with five 1,000-touch seasons behind him, the injury floor only gets lower and the per-touch efficiency continues to drop.

What to watch: Whether Minnesota retains him for 2026 as a veteran piece or releases him to clear cap and reps for a younger committee build around Jordan Mason.

Full take and bio

The Aaron Jones career arc is now clearly in its final chapter. From two top-10 finishes (#6 in 2019, #7 in 2021) to #11 in 2023, #21 in 2024, and #38 in 2025, the trajectory is monotonic. The eight-game late-2025 sample (peak of 15.3 PPR with a 0-0-0 string across Wks 16-19 in the duplicate game logs) shows what age-32 RB usage looks like when the offense moves to a younger committee.

Jones came out of UTEP as Green Bay's 5th-round pick (182nd overall) in 2017, one of the great mid-round value picks of the decade. He made two Pro Bowls with the Packers (2020, 2023), posted four 1,000-yard rushing seasons (including a 16-touchdown 2019), and was the focal point of multiple Green Bay playoff runs. He signed with Minnesota in March 2024 and put up a tier-6 #21 first season, then re-signed for 2025 ahead of his age-32 campaign.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Jonathan Taylor, Duce Staley, Thurman Thomas. Built like: Brandon Jackson, JaMycal Hasty, Bishop Sankey.

Aaron Jones Props This Weekat DET

MarketLineOverUnder
Rushing yards28.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada
Receptions1.5-170 Bovada+130 Bovada
Receiving yards9.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Aaron's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Aaron Jones Injury StatusNot listed

Aaron Jones is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 7 games

Rush Yds45816th
Rush TD224th
Rec1521st
Rec Yds9023rd
Total TD232nd
Fantasy PPG11.725th
EPA / rush-0.18938th
Rush yds over exp-3844th
Efficiency3.90
Time to line2.69s

11.7 fantasy points a game, 82 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$10.2M
APY
$5.6M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$5.0M
Years on Deal
1
Signed
2026
Est. Value
$3.7M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

This week he visits DET, projecting 11.8 points a game from here.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 5, pick 182 to the Green Bay Packers in 2017, out of UTEP (Conference USA). He went earlier than consensus.

Taken#182
Consensus board271st
Our college model#116 RB

In college, 2014-2016, 23 games: 2,833 rush yds, 27 TD, 6.3 yds/carry, 54 rec. (partial record) Coming out: 4.56s 40 yd, 16 reps bench, 37.5" vertical, 127" broad, 6.82s 3-cone, 4.2s shuttle.

Recruited

Class of 2013 · Athlete · High school: Burges, El Paso, TX

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 1,573 in the nation. Composite 0.8119, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
UTEP

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2013 class are still being added.

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