Alfred Collins
San Francisco 49ersModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
Rookie tier 8 (#69) for a 43rd overall pick with the Texas 2023 CFP National Championship Game pedigree is on the year-one band for 2nd-round IDL prospects. The Texas Big 12 32-start pedigree plus the 49ers position-specific coaching gives him real college foundation. The 2026 question is whether Collins crosses into tier 5-6 territory in his year-two jump or whether the structural rookie tier 8 finish becomes the realistic baseline.
Collins came out of Texas as the San Francisco 49ers' 2nd-round pick (43rd overall) in 2025 after starting 32 games for the Longhorns including the 2023 CFP National Championship Game appearance. The 49ers installed him in the interior rotation as a rookie behind the Aaron Donald-era transition. His first STTM appearance comes in 2025 at tier 8 (#69), the year-one developmental band for 2nd-round IDL prospects.
Strengths
- Texas 2023 CFP National Championship Game pedigree plus 32 college starts plus the 43rd overall draft slot gives him real college foundation.
- Year-one starter snaps for the 49ers at age 22 gives him the developmental runway.
Concerns
- Rookie tier 8 (#69) is on the year-one band for 2nd-round IDL picks but below the breakout-tier outcome.
- San Francisco's broader defensive identity around the Aaron Donald-era transition compresses the structural support around Collins.
What to watch: Whether Collins crosses into tier 5 (top 40) in 2026, the standard year-two threshold for 2nd-round IDL picks on Pro Bowl trajectories.
Comps
Alfred Collins Injury StatusIR
Alfred Collins is listed on injured reserve (Knee), reported Sep 10, with a return date of Feb 15. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Of the 320 players taken as a second-rounder between 2012 and 2021, 63% earned a second contract and 58% became starters. The median one started 44 career games.