Carlton Davis
New England PatriotsOVERPAIDModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 17 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
Super Bowl LV ring plus 2025 tier 2 (#14) Patriots STTM breakout puts Davis in the rare championship-pedigree late-career CB class. The Auburn SEC 2nd-round origin plus eight years of NFL development give him real veteran market value. The 2026 question is whether Davis earns his first Pro Bowl plus holds tier 2 territory or whether the structural team-fit volatility returns.
Davis came out of Auburn as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' 2nd-round pick (63rd overall) in 2018 and won Super Bowl LV with the Buccaneers. He has bounced through the Buccaneers, Lions, and now Patriots across eight NFL seasons. His STTM career runs tier 3 (#24) in 2019, tier 8 (#61) in 2021, tier 8 (#81) in 2023, tier 6 (#44) in 2024 with Detroit, and tier 2 (#14) breakout in 2025 with New England.
Strengths
- Super Bowl LV ring plus 2025 tier 2 (#14) Patriots STTM breakout puts him in the rare championship-pedigree late-career CB class.
- Eight years of NFL survival across three teams gives him real journeyman veteran market value.
Concerns
- Career STTM volatility (tier 8 in 2021 and 2023, tier 6 in 2024, tier 2 in 2025) confirms the ceiling is highly team-fit and scheme dependent.
- Patriots' broader defensive identity transition compresses the structural support around Davis's late-prime chapter.
What to watch: Whether Davis earns his first Pro Bowl in 2026 plus holds tier 3 or better, the threshold for confirming the late-prime ceiling holds.