Chris Paul

Washington Commanders

Pos LG

Updated October 9, 2026

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Model Score

84.5 MODEL

2025

81.9

2026

84.5

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Tier 8 (#113) in 2023 to tier 2 (#15) in 2025 for a 235th overall pick who bounced practice squads is one of the most outlier-positive STTM jumps at the position. The Tulsa Day 3 background plus three years of NFL survival gives him the journeyman profile that occasionally hits when the right team-fit lands. The 2026 question is whether Paul holds tier 3 or better across a full second Washington season or whether 2025 was a one-year context spike.

Paul came out of Tulsa as a 2022 7th-round pick (235th overall) by the Los Angeles Rams and bounced through multiple practice squads before landing with the Washington Commanders. He took over a starter role in Washington during the 2025 season and emerged as a tier 2 interior anchor. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#113) in 2023 to tier 2 (#15) in 2025, one of the largest two-year jumps at the position.

Strengths

98-spot two-year STTM jump from tier 8 (#113) to tier 2 (#15) for a 235th overall pick is one of the most extreme positive draft-slot-vs-outcome arcs at the position.
Washington's Jayden Daniels offensive structure plus the Commanders' broader offensive line rebuild creates the context that captures Paul's ceiling.

Concerns

Single tier 2 finish in an otherwise tier 8 STTM history raises real questions about whether the 2025 jump is structural or a one-year sample.
Practice-squad pedigree plus 7th-round draft slot caps the long-term contract upside even if 2026 confirms the ceiling.

What to watch: Whether Paul holds tier 4 or better across the full 2026 season, the threshold for confirming the 2025 tier 2 finish was structural rather than situational.