New: Be a GM College lets you run your NIL budget, fight the portal, and play the season. Try it. →
StickToTheModel
FreeBe a GM · run the cap, the cuts, the trades and the draft for your teamRun the team

Jayden Daniels

QB·Washington Commanders·#5·6'4"·210 lb·2nd year·LSU
UNDERPAIDTier 1Round 1, pick 2 in 2024
Updated November 4, 2026
87.2
Model Score
Up from 85.4 last year
Trade value ·two 1sts

Jayden Daniels has 976 passing yards, 6 touchdown passes, 0 interceptions and 236 rushing yards in 5 games for the Washington Commanders this season through Week 8, 19.7 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Up 1.8 from last season.

809087.2202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A dual-threat starter whose only question is staying on the field.

The case for

  • 2024 OROY + Pro Bowl + NFC Championship Game appearance is the cleanest rookie campaign on the current board.
  • Career 96.7 passer rating and 1,169 rushing yards with 8 rushing TDs across his playing time.

The worry

  • Major time missed in 2025 makes durability a real question after only one full pro season.
  • Game-log gap from Week 9 to Week 14 in 2025 confirms multi-month absences, not a one-game injury.

What to watch: Games played in 2026. The 2024 baseline is one of the strongest rookie campaigns ever; he just needs to be on the field.

Full take and bio

Daniels dropped from STTM #7 tier 2 as a rookie to #29 tier 8 in year two, but Wikipedia confirms what the game log already showed: his second season was marred by injury, missing the majority of the year. The skill case from 2024 is intact; the 2025 rank is a games-played story. The bar is whether he plays 17.

Daniels was born in Fontana, California and entered Cajon High at 125 pounds, needing a medical note to play. He spent three years at Arizona State, transferred to LSU, and won the 2023 Heisman Trophy after leading the FBS in total yards and setting the single-season passer rating record. Washington took him second overall in the 2024 NFL Draft. As a rookie he won Offensive Rookie of the Year, made the Pro Bowl, led the Commanders to their first NFC Championship Game since 1991, and threw the "Hail Maryland" walk-off TD named NFL Moment of the Year.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Jim Harbaugh, Jaxson Dart, Alex Smith. Built like: Joey Harrington, Tom Brady, Alex Smith. Coming out: Hendon Hooker, Marcus Mariota.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 4 stars, 5 starters, 5 backups, 6 didn't stick.

Jayden Daniels Props This Weekvs LA Sun Nov 8

MarketLineOverUnder
Passing yards200.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada
Rushing yards36.5-120 Bovada-110 Bovada
Anytime TD+245 DraftKings

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Jayden's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Jayden Daniels Injury StatusNot listed

Jayden Daniels is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 5 games

Pass Yds976
Pass TD6
INT0
Comp %63.6%
Rush Yds236
Rush TD2
Fantasy PPG19.7
Total EPA-1.1
EPA / dropback0.016
Time to throw2.87s
Avg air yards9.1
Aggressiveness13.7%
Longest comp (air)52 yd

19.7 fantasy points a game, 99 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$10.3M
APY
$9.4M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$37.7M
Years on Deal
4
Signed
2024
Est. Value
$50.0M/yr
underpaid by $40.6M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Jayden Daniels at QB9 (the public consensus says QB12); the model has 201 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts LA.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 2 to the Washington Commanders in 2024, out of LSU (SEC). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#2
Consensus board7th
Our college model#18 QB

In college, 2019-2023, 51 games: 11,380 pass yds, 80 TD, 13 INT, 61.2% completions.

Recruited

Class of 2019 · Quarterback · High school: Cajon, San Bernardino, CA

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 35 in the nation. Composite 0.9832, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2019 class are still being added.

Related Tools & Pages