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PlayerChristian Barmore · IDL, New England Patriots, Model Score 79.6Be the Patriots GM

Christian Barmore

New England Patriots
Pos IDL
Updated October 9, 2026

Model Score

79.6 MODEL
2021
74.8
2022
74.8
2023
88.3
2024
78.5
2025
76.9
2026
79.6

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

2023 tier 1 (#4) STTM peak plus the 2024 full-season absence due to blood clots plus the 2025 tier 4 (#30) post-recovery return puts Barmore in the post-medical-recovery context band. The Alabama 2020 CFP National Championship pedigree plus the 2023 breakout proves a top-10 IDL ceiling exists. The 2026 question is whether Barmore returns to tier 2-3 territory in his year-two post-recovery or whether the structural medical context closes the elite chapter.

Barmore came out of Alabama as the New England Patriots' 2nd-round pick (38th overall) in 2021 after winning the 2020 CFP National Championship with the Crimson Tide. He delivered a tier 1 (#4) breakout in 2023 with 8.5 sacks, then was diagnosed with blood clots in 2024 training camp and missed the entire 2024 season. His STTM career runs tier 4 (#28) rookie, tier 4 (#31) in 2022, tier 1 (#4) peak in 2023, and tier 4 (#30) in 2025 post-recovery.

Strengths

  • Alabama 2020 CFP National Championship ring plus 2023 tier 1 (#4) STTM peak plus 8.5 sacks establishes a top-10 IDL ceiling.
  • Tier 4 (#30) post-recovery return in 2025 after a full year out for blood clots confirms the structural ceiling is still reachable.

Concerns

  • 2024 blood-clot diagnosis plus full-season absence puts continued medical question on every 2026 projection.
  • 30-spot regression from tier 1 (#4) in 2023 to tier 4 (#30) in 2025 confirms the structural ceiling has not yet fully recovered.

What to watch: Whether Barmore returns to tier 2 (top 15) in 2026 in his year-two post-recovery, the threshold for confirming the 2023 peak ceiling can be recaptured.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Famous comp
names you know, same point in their careers (around year 5)
Built like
measurables only, his size
Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Of his 20 closest coming out: 1 star, 9 starters, 4 backups, 6 didn't stick.

Christian Barmore Injury StatusQuestionable

Christian Barmore is listed Questionable (Shoulder), reported Oct 6. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Christian Barmore Stats This Season · 3 games

1
Sacks
3
Pressures
2
QB Hits
1
TFL
4
Tackles
1
FF

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 38 · New England Patriots · 2021
Alabama (SEC)
Taken
#38
where he actually went
Consensus board
26th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#3
among IDL in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2019-2020 · 23 games
8.0 sacks, 14 TFL, 18 pressures, 60 tackles

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

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