B.J. Hill
Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 17 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
Back-to-back tier 2 finishes (#15, #15) in 2021-2022 plus three straight tier 4 finishes (2023-2025) confirms the structural mid-prime ceiling exists with consistent production. The NC State 3rd-round origin plus the Super Bowl LVI appearance gives him real championship-pedigree veteran value. The 2026 question is whether Hill returns to tier 3 territory or whether the structural tier 4 finish becomes the stable late-prime baseline.
Hill came out of NC State as the New York Giants' 3rd-round pick (69th overall) in 2018 and was traded to the Cincinnati Bengals in 2021 for Billy Price. He played in Super Bowl LVI with the Bengals. His STTM career runs tier 2 (#15) in 2021 and 2022, tier 4 (#25) in 2023, tier 4 (#27) in 2024, and tier 4 (#28) in 2025.
Strengths
- Back-to-back tier 2 finishes (#15, #15) in 2021-2022 plus Super Bowl LVI appearance confirms structural top-15 IDL ceiling.
- Eight years of NFL starter reps across two systems plus the consistent tier 4 floor gives him real veteran market value.
Concerns
- Three straight tier 4 finishes (2023-2025) after the 2021-2022 tier 2 peak confirms the structural age-related decline is real.
- Cincinnati's broader defensive identity transition around Trey Hendrickson's contract dispute compresses the structural support around Hill.
What to watch: Whether Hill returns to tier 3 (top 25) in 2026, the threshold for confirming the 2021-2022 ceiling is still reachable.
