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PlayerDerrick Barnes · LB, Detroit Lions, Model Score 77.3Be the Lions GM

Derrick Barnes

Detroit Lions
Pos LB
Updated October 8, 2026

Model Score

77.3 MODEL
2021
74.6
2022
75.5
2023
71.8
2025
78.0
2026
77.3

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

$25M Lions extension plus the structural LB starter role in 2023 establishes Barnes in the rare mid-tier LB market value class. The Purdue Big Ten 4th-round origin plus the 2024 ACL plus the 2025 return put the developmental trajectory in the post-injury context band. The 2026 question is whether Barnes returns to tier 5-6 territory or whether the structural injury wear closes the elite chapter.

Barnes came out of Purdue as the Detroit Lions' 4th-round pick (113th overall) in 2021. He emerged into a structural LB starter in 2023 before tearing his ACL early in the 2024 season. He signed a three-year, $25M extension with the Lions in 2024 plus returned in 2025.

Strengths

  • $25M Lions extension plus the structural LB starter role establishes real market value foundation.
  • Purdue Big Ten 4th-round origin plus five years of Lions system experience gives him real veteran market value.

Concerns

  • 2024 early-season ACL puts continued durability question on every 2026 projection.
  • Detroit's broader defensive identity around the Hutchinson primary pass-rush priority puts continued Barnes production partly dependent on team-fit.

What to watch: Whether Barnes returns to tier 6 (top 50) in 2026 post-ACL recovery, the threshold for confirming the structural LB ceiling holds.

Derrick Barnes Injury StatusNot listed

Derrick Barnes is not on the injury report as of Oct 7. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Draft & College

Round 4, pick 113 · Detroit Lions · 2021
Purdue (Big Ten)
Taken
#113
where he actually went
Consensus board
96th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#236
among LB in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2017-2020 · 42 games
10.5 sacks, 21 TFL, 16 pressures, 206 tackles

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

What this pick usually becomes

Of the 450 players taken as a fourth-rounder between 2012 and 2021, 38% earned a second contract and 26% became starters. The median one started 11 career games.

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