Ezra Cleveland

Jacksonville Jaguars

Pos LG

Updated October 8, 2026

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Model Score

81.9 MODEL

2020

69.4

2021

75.0

2022

69.3

2023

70.6

2024

81.5

2025

85.8

2026

81.9

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Tier 4 (#26) breakout in 2024 to tier 7 (#53) in 2025 is a 27-spot regression that flags the 2024 finish as either situational or a one-year context spike. The Boise State Mountain West technical foundation plus the trade-deadline change-of-scenery to Jacksonville provided the catalyst for the 2024 jump. The 2026 question is whether Cleveland returns to tier 5-6 territory or whether the 2025 tier 7 finish is the new baseline.

Cleveland came out of Boise State as the Minnesota Vikings' 2nd-round pick (58th overall) in 2020 and started for three seasons in Minnesota before being traded to the Jacksonville Jaguars at the 2023 trade deadline. He signed a three-year, $24M extension with the Jaguars in 2024. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#89) in 2021, tier 8 (#112) in 2022, tier 8 (#86) in 2023, tier 4 (#26) breakout in 2024, then tier 7 (#53) collapse in 2025.

Strengths

2024 tier 4 (#26) breakout finish after three straight tier 8 years confirms the structural starter ceiling exists when the team-fit aligns.
Six years of NFL starter reps across two systems plus the $24M Jaguars extension gives him real veteran market value.

Concerns

Career STTM range mostly in the tier 7-8 band (four of his six seasons) confirms the 2024 tier 4 peak was the outlier rather than the baseline.
27-spot regression from tier 4 (#26) to tier 7 (#53) in 2025 puts the $24M extension's contract value at risk.

What to watch: Whether Cleveland returns to tier 5 or better in 2026, the threshold for confirming the 2024 tier 4 finish was structural rather than situational.