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PlayerLeo Chenal · LB, Washington Commanders, Model Score 75.9Be the Commanders GM

Leo Chenal

Washington Commanders
Pos LB
Updated October 8, 2026

Model Score

75.9 MODEL
2022
70.6
2023
74.6
2024
76.6
2025
74.8
2026
75.9

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Two Super Bowl rings (LVII, LVIII) plus 2024 tier 3 (#17) STTM peak puts Chenal in the rare championship-pedigree LB class with structural top-20 ceiling. The 42-spot regression from tier 3 (#17) in 2024 to tier 8 (#59) in 2025 flags either injury, scheme shift, or one-year context spike. The 2026 question is whether Chenal returns to tier 4-5 territory or whether the structural mid-career instability returns.

Chenal came out of Wisconsin as the Kansas City Chiefs' 3rd-round pick (103rd overall) in 2022 and has won three Super Bowls (LVII, LVIII) anchoring the Chiefs' linebacker corps. His STTM career runs tier 5 (#39) in 2023, tier 3 (#17) peak in 2024, and tier 8 (#59) collapse in 2025.

Strengths

  • Two Super Bowl rings (LVII, LVIII) plus 2024 tier 3 (#17) STTM peak as a 103rd overall 3rd-round pick puts him in the outlier-positive championship class.
  • Wisconsin Big Ten 3rd-round origin plus four years of Chiefs system experience gives him real championship-pedigree veteran value.

Concerns

  • 42-spot regression from tier 3 (#17) in 2024 to tier 8 (#59) in 2025 flags either injury, scheme shift, or one-year context spike.
  • Kansas City's broader defensive identity transition compresses the structural support around Chenal's continued production.

What to watch: Whether Chenal returns to tier 4 (top 30) in 2026, the threshold for confirming the 2024 ceiling can be recaptured.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Plays like
on-field production only
Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Leo Chenal Injury StatusIR

Leo Chenal is listed on injured reserve (Neck), reported Sep 29, with a return date of Feb 15. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Leo Chenal Stats This Season · 3 games

9
Solo Tackles
1
TFL
0
Sacks
0
INT
0
Pass Deflections
0
FF

Draft & College

Round 3, pick 103 · Kansas City Chiefs · 2022
Wisconsin (Big Ten)
Taken
#103
where he actually went
Our college model
#90
among LB in our college data
In college · 2019-2021 · 31 games
156 tackles, 26 TFL, 12.0 sacks, 1 INT

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

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