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PlayerMinkah Fitzpatrick · S, New York Jets, Model Score 86.2Be the Jets GM

Minkah Fitzpatrick

New York Jets
Pos S
Updated October 8, 2026
Compare Minkah Fitzpatrick S rankings →

Model Score

86.2 MODEL
2018
83.1
2019
85.8
2020
87.7
2021
87.7
2022
81.9
2023
71.3
2024
77.5
2025
80.8

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Five Pro Bowls plus three 1st-team All-Pros plus the 2022 tier 1 (#7) STTM peak plus the Alabama 2017 CFP National Championship pedigree establishes Fitzpatrick as one of the elite safeties of his generation. The 2025 tier 3 (#17) Miami bounce-back after two tier 5-7 years puts him in the rare change-of-scenery rebound class. The 2026 question is whether Fitzpatrick returns to tier 2 territory or whether the structural late-prime ceiling stabilizes at top-25 S.

Fitzpatrick came out of Alabama as the Miami Dolphins' 1st-round pick (11th overall) in 2018 after winning the 2017 CFP National Championship. He has made five Pro Bowls (2019-2022, 2024) plus earned three 1st-team All-Pro selections (2019, 2020, 2022). He was traded from the Pittsburgh Steelers back to the Dolphins in 2025. His STTM career runs tier 2 (#14) in 2021, tier 1 (#7) in 2022, tier 5 (#38) in 2023, tier 7 (#53) in 2024, and tier 3 (#17) bounce-back in 2025.

Strengths

  • Five Pro Bowls plus three 1st-team All-Pros plus the 2022 tier 1 (#7) STTM peak plus Alabama 2017 CFP National Championship pedigree establishes Hall-of-Fame trajectory S résumé.
  • Alabama 11th overall draft pedigree plus eight years of NFL elite production gives him the rare championship-pedigree elite career foundation.

Concerns

  • Two-year decline from tier 1 (#7) in 2022 to tier 7 (#53) in 2024 confirms the structural mid-career decline was real.
  • Miami's broader defensive identity around the Tua Tagovailoa offensive instability puts continued Fitzpatrick production partly outside his control.

What to watch: Whether Fitzpatrick returns to tier 2 (top 15) in 2026, the threshold for confirming the late-prime ceiling can be sustained.

Comps

Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his
Malik Hooker55%Rayshawn Jenkins53%Marcus Williams50%

Minkah Fitzpatrick Injury StatusNot listed

Minkah Fitzpatrick is not on the injury report as of Oct 7. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 11 · Miami Dolphins · 2018
Alabama (SEC)
Taken
#11
where he actually went
Consensus board
11th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#125
among S in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2016-2017 · 25 games · partial record
7 INT, 15 pass breakups, 126 tackles, 14 TFL

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Coming out
4.46s
40 yd
14 reps
Bench
33"
Vertical
121"
Broad
What this pick usually becomes

Of the 220 players taken as a late first-rounder between 2012 and 2021, 70% earned a second contract and 72% became starters. The median one started 58 career games.

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