Steve Avila
Los Angeles RamsUNDERPAIDModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 13 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Comps
STM Take
Tier 8 (#68, #71) two straight rookie/sophomore years to tier 3 (#24) in year three is the textbook patience-and-payoff curve for a 2nd-round guard. The TCU 2022 CFP National Championship appearance plus the Rams' offensive line stability under Sean McVay appears to have unlocked the ceiling on schedule. The 2026 question is whether Avila crosses into tier 2 territory or whether tier 3 becomes the stable baseline as he enters his prime.
Avila came out of TCU as the Los Angeles Rams' 2nd-round pick (36th overall) in 2023 after starting 25 games for the Horned Frogs and reaching the 2022 College Football Playoff National Championship. The Rams installed him as the starting left guard from week one of his rookie year. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#68) rookie to tier 8 (#71) sophomore to tier 3 (#24) in 2025, the year-three jump that 2nd-round guards need to justify the draft slot.
Strengths
- 47-spot two-year STTM jump from tier 8 (#71) to tier 3 (#24) for a 2nd-round pick puts him on the right side of the Day 2 guard developmental curve.
- TCU 2022 CFP National Championship appearance plus the Rams' Matthew Stafford-era continuity creates the structural support that holds the tier 3 ceiling.
Concerns
- Single tier 3 finish following two straight tier 8 years raises the question of whether the 2025 jump is structural or one-year context.
- Rams' broader offensive identity around Stafford's late-career window plus the Alaric Jackson contract context puts the surrounding line stability at risk.
What to watch: Whether Avila holds tier 4 or better in 2026 plus crosses into tier 2 territory, the threshold for confirming the structural ceiling.