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PlayerTerrion Arnold · CB, Seattle Seahawks, Model Score 70.0Be the Seahawks GM

Terrion Arnold

Seattle Seahawks
Pos CB
Updated October 8, 2026
Compare Terrion Arnold CB rankings →

Model Score

70.0 MODEL
2024
77.7
2025
69.4

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Two straight tier 8 finishes (#76, #93) for a 24th overall pick puts Arnold in the negative draft-slot-vs-outcome class at the CB position. The Alabama SEC 2023 First-Team All-SEC honors plus the structural Lions anchor role gives him real college foundation. The 2026 question is whether Arnold crosses into tier 6-7 territory in his year-three jump or whether the structural tier 8 ceiling caps below his expected outcome.

Arnold came out of Alabama as the Detroit Lions' 1st-round pick (24th overall) in 2024 after earning 2023 First-Team All-SEC honors. He has anchored the Lions' CB rotation across two seasons. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#76) rookie to tier 8 (#93) sophomore.

Strengths

  • Alabama SEC 2023 First-Team All-SEC honors plus the 24th overall draft slot establishes elite college foundation.
  • Two years of Lions system experience plus the structural anchor role gives him the developmental runway.

Concerns

  • Two straight tier 8 finishes for a 24th overall pick is well below the year-two median for late-1st CB picks on Pro Bowl trajectories.
  • Detroit's broader defensive identity around the Hutchinson primary pass-rush priority compresses the structural support around Arnold.

What to watch: Whether Arnold crosses into tier 6 (top 50) in 2026, the standard year-three threshold for late-1st CB picks on Pro Bowl trajectories.

Comps

Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his
Roger McCreary67%Xavien Howard57%Shaquill Griffin57%

Terrion Arnold Injury StatusNot listed

Terrion Arnold is not on the injury report as of Oct 7. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 24 · Detroit Lions · 2024
Alabama (SEC)
Taken
#24
where he actually went
Consensus board
13th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#2
among CB in our college data

He lasted longer than consensus.

In college · 2022-2023 · 25 games
6 INT, 20 pass breakups, 108 tackles, 8 TFL

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

What this pick usually becomes

Of the 220 players taken as a late first-rounder between 2012 and 2021, 70% earned a second contract and 72% became starters. The median one started 58 career games.

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