Games › Redo › What Lost It

Week 10, 2025 · Final

Sean Payton's Broncos beat the Raiders 10-7; these three plays saved it.

1. Q4 4:30 · 4th & 6 at the DEN 30

   Daniel Carlson's 48-yard field goal missed.

   +18 points of win chanceWin chance 71% to 89%

2. Q3 5:34 · 1st & 10 at the LV 49

   Geno Smith's pass to Ashton Jeanty was intercepted by Dondrea Tillman.

   +15 points of win chanceWin chance 60% to 75%

3. Q2 4:10 · 2nd & 18 at the LV 48

   Bo Nix hit Pat Bryant for 43 yards.

   +14 points of win chanceWin chance 59% to 73%

Win chance is the share of games like this one, from that spot, that the team went on to win. Each play shows how far it moved.

See it from the Raiders side · Every team this week

Other Broncos weeks

• Week 5, 2026