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Geno Smith

QB·New York Jets·#7·6'3"·221 lb·13th year·West Virginia
Tier 1Round 2, pick 39 in 2013
Updated November 4, 2026
81.9
Model Score
Up from 78.7 last year
Trade value ·a 6th

Geno Smith has 1,913 passing yards, 12 touchdown passes, 3 interceptions and 46 rushing yards in 8 games for the New York Jets this season through Week 8, 15.4 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Up 3.2 from last season.

70809010081.920222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A late-blooming starter whose trend is now heading the wrong way.

The case for

  • 2022 NFL completion percentage leader and Comeback Player of the Year, with two career Pro Bowls.
  • Career 65.2 percent completion percentage on 3,103 attempts holds up across a long, non-traditional career arc.

The worry

  • 21-rank drop from 2024 to 2025; the tier-5 Seattle baseline did not travel to Las Vegas.
  • 124 career TDs against 89 INTs is one of the worst TD-INT ratios among all current starters.

What to watch: Whether the return to the Jets in 2026 produces a tier-6 rebound, or whether the 2025 line was the start of the late-career fall.

Full take and bio

Smith dropped from STTM #19 tier 5 in his last Seattle year to #40 tier 8 in his single Raiders season. The career story is one of the more unique on the board: a backup for seven years, a breakout at age 32, and now an age-35 trend that is going the wrong way. The 2022 ceiling was real; the 2025 Vegas floor is also real.

Smith was born in Miramar, Florida, played at West Virginia where he was first-team All-Big East in 2011, and was a second-round pick of the Jets in the 2013 NFL Draft. After two years as a starter and seven seasons of backup work across the Jets, Giants, and Chargers, he became Seattle's starter in 2022, led the league in completion percentage, won Comeback Player of the Year, and made the Pro Bowl. He earned a second Pro Bowl in 2023, was traded to the Raiders in 2025, and is back with the Jets for 2026.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Phil Simms, Troy Aikman, Jim McMahon. Built like: Joshua Dobbs, Deshaun Watson, Bruce Gradkowski. Coming out: Colt McCoy, John Beck, Bruce Gradkowski.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 3 starters, 7 backups, 7 didn't stick.

Geno Smith Props This Weekvs LV

MarketLineOverUnder
Passing yards226.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada
Rushing yards6.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Geno's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Geno Smith Injury StatusNot listed

Geno Smith is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 8 games

Pass Yds1,9139th
Pass TD1213th
INT34th
Comp %69.3%4th
Rush Yds4622nd
Rush TD022nd
Fantasy PPG15.417th
Total EPA29.013th
EPA / dropback0.13611th
Time to throw2.96s
Avg air yards8.1
Aggressiveness15.0%
Longest comp (air)59 yd5th

15.4 fantasy points a game, 123 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$3.3M
APY
$3.3M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$3.3M
Years on Deal
1
Signed
2026
Est. Value
$8.7M/yr
underpaid by $5.4M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Geno Smith at QB23 (the public consensus says QB24); the model has 120 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts LV.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 39 to the New York Jets in 2013, out of West Virginia (Big 12). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#39
Consensus board30th

Coming out: 4.58s 40 yd, 33.5" vertical, 124" broad.

Recruited

Class of 2009 · Quarterback · High school: Miramar, Hollywood, FL

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 103 in the nation. Composite 0.9540, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
West Virginia

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2009 class are still being added.

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