Ashton Jeanty
Las Vegas Raiders·#2·5'8"·208 lb·Rookie·Boise StateModel Score by season
Down 1.8 from last season.
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
A workhorse back whose talent is bigger than his offense.
The case for
- 2,601 rushing yards as a Boise State senior plus a Heisman runner-up finish is generational college production. Wk 16's 31.8 PPR explosion is the kind of single-game ceiling only top-tier NFL backs deliver.
- Drafted #6 overall, the highest RB pick since Barkley in 2018, which guarantees workhorse usage at age 22 for the foreseeable future. The contact-balance trait that defined his college tape translates.
The worry
- Five 2025 weeks under 10 PPR (12.4, 9.3, 8.2, 5.8, 9.4) show that the Raiders offense and offensive line drag down his weekly floor regardless of his individual talent.
- Tier 8 rookie season is well below where the draft slot and college production projected him. The gap between his usage and his production suggests scheme and supporting cast are bigger drags than expected.
What to watch: Whether Las Vegas's 2026 offensive line upgrades push him over 4.5 yards per carry, the threshold he never sustained as a rookie behind the existing front five.
Full take and bio
The #35 (tier 8) rookie finish is the gap between draft capital and production, and it is real. The Wk 16 31.8 PPR spike and Wk 12 24.8 PPR game show the prospect grade was not wrong, but the Raiders' offensive line and overall offensive talent capped his fantasy ceiling. 2026 is the year the volume and the talent should converge into a tier-3-or-better finish if the offense supports it.
Jeanty came out of Boise State as Las Vegas's #6 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, the highest running back drafted since Saquon Barkley went 2nd overall in 2018. He posted 2,601 rushing yards as a senior, the 2nd-most in a single FBS season behind only Barry Sanders's 1988 Heisman year. He finished 2nd in the 2024 Heisman voting behind Travis Hunter. At 5'9" and 211 pounds with elite contact balance, he was widely viewed as the most complete RB prospect since Bijan Robinson.
Comps
The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.
LaDainian Tomlinson ’0172%Trent Richardson ’1269%Ricky Williams ’9949%Kevin Jones ’0646%Earnest Byner ’8646%Plays like: Eric Dickerson, Alvin Kamara, Darren McFadden. Built like: Delone Carter, Kenneth Walker, Jameel Cook. Coming out: Jeremy McNichols, Ka'Deem Carey, J.K. Dobbins.
Of his 20 closest coming out: 4 stars, 6 starters, 9 backups, 1 didn't stick.
Ashton Jeanty Props This Weekvs LA Sun Oct 25
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 50.5 | -111 DraftKings | -113 DraftKings |
| Carries | 13.5 | -127 DraftKings | +100 DraftKings |
| Receptions | 3.5 | -142 DraftKings | +112 FanDuel |
| Receiving yards | 26.5 | -114 DraftKings | -110 DraftKings |
| Anytime TD | -110 BetMGM |
Best price across 9 books as of Wed Oct 21. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
Play Ashton's numbers on Underdog · partner link
Ashton Jeanty Injury StatusNot listed
Ashton Jeanty is not on the injury report as of Oct 22. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
This season · 6 games
16.7 fantasy points a game, 100 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.
Draft & College
Round 1, pick 6 to the Las Vegas Raiders in 2025, out of Boise State (Mountain West). He went about where consensus had him.
In college, 2022-2024, 38 games: 4,682 rush yds, 55 TD, 6.5 yds/carry, 79 rec. Coming out: 4.42s 40 yd.