Bengals · current general manager

Duke Tobin Draft History and Grades

14 draft classes, 2012-2025. Every pick graded against its slot.

The answer

Duke Tobin has made 123 picks. 35 became starters and 12 were busts. Draft Value Added per pick: -10.2, league average -7.6. That ranks 41 of 55 GMs with 20+ picks.

Best at wide receivers (+10.8 vs league on 15 picks) and linebackers (+9.8 vs league on 11 picks). Weakest at defensive tackles (-31.8 on 5 picks) and offensive linemen (-19.9 on 5 picks).

123Picks

34%Hit rateleague 40%

28%Starter rateleague 31%

27%Bust rate (R1-3)league 31%

-10.2DVA per pickleague -7.6

Open Duke Tobin in the draft explorer All GMs ranked

By position

Draft Value Added compares each pick's peak season to what that draft slot usually produces. Click a position to see those picks in the explorer.

Pos	Picks	Starters	Busts	Hit	DVA/pick	Verdict
WR	15	8	1	67%	+4.8	+10.8 vs league
DE	12	1	4	17%	-27.9	-14.0 vs league
RB	12	2	1	27%	-5.4	-4.0 vs league
LB	11	2	0	55%	+3.4	+9.8 vs league
DB	9	4	0	44%	-6.3	+5.6 vs league
TE	8	2	0	43%	+0.6	-2.1 vs league
CB	8	2	0	25%	-10.3	+0.6 vs league
T	7	2	1	29%	-19.2	-12.8 vs league
OL	5	1	0	0%	-30.8	-19.9 vs league
C	5	2	0	25%	-2.2	-11.0 vs league
DT	5	0	2	0%	-41.4	-31.8 vs league
G	5	3	0	40%	-9.7	-2.8 vs league
S	4	1	0	25%	-3.8	-3.5 vs league
OLB	4	1	1	25%	-9.1	-1.6 vs league
QB	4	2	0	25%	-18.8	+3.5 vs league
DL	2	1	1	0%	-23.0	too few to judge
K	2	0	0	-	-	too few to judge
ILB	2	0	1	0%	-23.7	too few to judge
SAF	1	0	0	-	-	too few to judge
P	1	0	0	-	-	too few to judge
NT	1	1	0	100%	+11.3	too few to judge

Best and worst picks

Best value

Deshaun Davis (LB, R6 2019) +65 DVA
Markus Bailey (LB, R7 2020) +61 DVA
Rex Burkhead (RB, R6 2013) +55 DVA

Worst value

Shemar Stewart (DE, R1 2025) -66 DVA
Renell Wren (DT, R4 2019) -50 DVA
Josh Malone (WR, R4 2017) -49 DVA

Tenure

Bengals: 2012-present (Director of player personnel; Mike Brown holds the title but Tobin runs the draft)

Whoever was in the chair on draft day owns that class. Our pick window starts in 2012, so earlier classes are not counted.

Every pick

16 picks are from the last two drafts and still developing.

Year	Pick	Player	Pos	School	DVA	Result
2025	R1, #17	Shemar Stewart	DE	Texas A&M	-66.4	developing
2025	R2, #49	Demetrius Knight	LB	South Carolina	-42.1	developing
2025	R3, #81	Dylan Fairchild	OL	Georgia	-47.7	developing
2025	R4, #119	Barrett Carter	LB	Clemson	-45.6	developing
2025	R5, #153	Jalen Rivers	OL	Miami (FL)	-36.6	developing
2025	R6, #193	Tahj Brooks	RB	Texas Tech	-	developing
2024	R1, #18	Amarius Mims	OL	Georgia	-23.9	starter
2024	R2, #49	Kris Jenkins	DL	Michigan	-26.5	bust
2024	R3, #80	Jermaine Burton	WR	Alabama	-43.4	bust
2024	R3, #97	McKinnley Jackson	DL	Texas A&M	-19.5	developing
2024	R4, #115	Erick All	TE	Iowa	-15.6	developing
2024	R5, #149	Josh Newton	CB	TCU	-13.1	developing
2024	R6, #194	Tanner McLachlan	TE	Arizona	-	developing
2024	R6, #214	Cedric Johnson	DE	Mississippi	+16.6	developing
2024	R7, #224	Daijahn Anthony	SAF	Mississippi	-	developing
2024	R7, #237	Matt Lee	C	Miami (FL)	-	developing
2023	R1, #28	Myles Murphy	DE	Clemson	-27.1	bust
2023	R2, #60	DJ Turner	DB	Michigan	+20.6	starter
2023	R3, #95	Jordan Battle	DB	Alabama	-9.2	starter
2023	R4, #131	Charlie Jones	WR	Purdue	-29.9	backup
2023	R5, #163	Chase Brown	RB	Illinois	+46.1	starter
2023	R6, #206	Andrei Iosivas	WR	Princeton	+17.0	starter
2023	R6, #217	Brad Robbins	P	Michigan	-	active
2023	R7, #246	DJ Ivey	CB	Miami (FL)	-6.7	backup
2022	R1, #31	Daxton Hill	DB	Michigan	+3.4	starter
2022	R2, #60	Cam Taylor-Britt	CB	Nebraska	-17.9	starter
2022	R3, #95	Zachary Carter	DE	Florida	-37.7	bust
2022	R4, #136	Cordell Volson	T	North Dakota St.	-28.7	starter
2022	R5, #166	Tycen Anderson	S	Toledo	-22.7	backup
2022	R7, #252	Jeff Gunter	OLB	Coastal Carolina	-10.5	active
2021	R1, #5	Ja'Marr Chase	WR	LSU	+13.7	starter
2021	R2, #46	Jackson Carman	T	Clemson	+6.4	active
2021	R3, #69	Joseph Ossai	LB	Texas	+11.9	backup
2021	R4, #111	Cameron Sample	DE	Tulane	-12.5	backup
2021	R4, #122	Tyler Shelvin	DT	LSU	-46.8	active
2021	R4, #139	D'Ante Smith	T	East Carolina	+6.6	active
2021	R5, #149	Evan McPherson	K	Florida	-	backup
2021	R6, #190	Trey Hill	OL	Georgia	-22.8	active
2021	R6, #202	Chris Evans	RB	Michigan	-15.4	backup
2021	R7, #235	Wyatt Hubert	DE	Kansas St.	-23.9	released
2020	R1, #1	Joe Burrow	QB	LSU	+5.8	starter
2020	R2, #33	Tee Higgins	WR	Clemson	+23.4	starter
2020	R3, #65	Logan Wilson	LB	Wyoming	+14.8	starter
2020	R4, #107	Akeem Davis-Gaither	LB	Appalachian St.	-6.5	backup
2020	R5, #147	Khalid Kareem	DE	Notre Dame	-39.8	backup
2020	R6, #180	Hakeem Adeniji	T	Kansas	-35.7	backup
2020	R7, #215	Markus Bailey	LB	Purdue	+61.3	backup
2019	R1, #11	Jonah Williams	G	Alabama	+8.6	starter
2019	R2, #52	Drew Sample	TE	Washington	-8.2	starter
2019	R3, #72	Germaine Pratt	LB	North Carolina St.	+33.9	starter
2019	R4, #104	Ryan Finley	QB	North Carolina St.	-42.0	starter
2019	R4, #125	Renell Wren	DT	Arizona St.	-50.1	active
2019	R4, #136	Michael Jordan	G	Ohio St.	-23.0	starter
2019	R6, #182	Trayveon Williams	RB	Texas A&M	-38.5	backup
2019	R6, #210	Deshaun Davis	LB	Auburn	+64.6	released
2019	R6, #211	Rodney Anderson	RB	Oklahoma	-28.6	released
2019	R7, #223	Jordan Brown	CB	South Dakota St.	-26.2	released
2018	R1, #21	Billy Price	C	Ohio St.	-0.6	starter
2018	R2, #54	Jessie Bates III	S	Wake Forest	+30.7	starter
2018	R3, #77	Sam Hubbard	DE	Ohio St.	+27.4	starter
2018	R3, #78	Malik Jefferson	OLB	Texas	-41.5	bust
2018	R4, #112	Mark Walton	RB	Miami (FL)	-39.0	active
2018	R5, #151	Davontae Harris	CB	Illinois St.	-31.2	backup
2018	R5, #158	Andrew Brown	DE	Virginia	-40.2	active
2018	R5, #170	Darius Phillips	CB	Western Michigan	+37.5	backup
2018	R7, #249	Logan Woodside	QB	Toledo	-11.1	active
2018	R7, #252	Rod Taylor	G	Mississippi	-20.5	released
2018	R7, #253	Auden Tate	WR	Florida St.	+38.2	backup
2017	R1, #9	John Ross	WR	Washington	-5.5	starter
2017	R2, #48	Joe Mixon	RB	Oklahoma	+20.4	starter
2017	R3, #73	Jordan Willis	OLB	Kansas St.	-17.4	backup
2017	R4, #116	Carl Lawson	OLB	Auburn	+33.2	starter
2017	R4, #128	Josh Malone	WR	Tennessee	-48.7	active
2017	R4, #138	Ryan Glasgow	DT	Michigan	-24.3	active
2017	R5, #153	Jake Elliott	K	Memphis	-	backup
2017	R5, #176	JJ Dielman	C	Utah	-35.6	released
2017	R6, #193	Jordan Evans	LB	Oklahoma	+6.7	backup
2017	R6, #207	Brandon Wilson	RB	Houston	-14.4	backup
2017	R7, #251	Mason Schreck	TE	Buffalo	-11.3	active
2016	R1, #24	William Jackson III	CB	Houston	+7.5	starter
2016	R2, #55	Tyler Boyd	WR	Pittsburgh	+25.5	starter
2016	R3, #87	Nick Vigil	ILB	Utah St.	-5.6	backup
2016	R4, #122	Andrew Billings	NT	Baylor	+11.3	starter
2016	R5, #161	Christian Westerman	G	Arizona St.	-28.7	active
2016	R6, #199	Cody Core	WR	Mississippi	+12.1	backup
2016	R7, #245	Clayton Fejedelem	S	Illinois	-6.9	backup
2015	R1, #21	Cedric Ogbuehi	T	Texas A&M	-32.2	bust
2015	R2, #53	Jake Fisher	T	Oregon	-11.2	backup
2015	R3, #85	Tyler Kroft	TE	Rutgers	+17.8	backup
2015	R3, #99	Paul Dawson	ILB	TCU	-41.8	bust
2015	R4, #120	Josh Shaw	CB	USC	-32.3	backup
2015	R4, #135	Marcus Hardison	DE	Arizona St.	-44.1	released
2015	R5, #157	C.J. Uzomah	TE	Auburn	+44.9	starter
2015	R6, #197	Derron Smith	S	Fresno St.	-16.4	backup
2015	R7, #238	Mario Alford	WR	West Virginia	-23.3	active
2014	R1, #24	Darqueze Dennard	DB	Michigan St.	+11.7	starter
2014	R2, #55	Jeremy Hill	RB	LSU	-9.1	bust
2014	R3, #88	Will Clarke	DE	West Virginia	-39.3	bust
2014	R4, #111	Russell Bodine	C	North Carolina	+33.2	starter
2014	R5, #164	A.J. McCarron	QB	Alabama	-28.1	active
2014	R6, #212	Marquis Flowers	LB	Arizona	-13.4	backup
2014	R7, #239	James Wright	WR	LSU	+2.1	active
2014	R7, #252	Lavelle Westbrooks	DB	Georgia Southern	-20.5	released
2013	R1, #21	Tyler Eifert	TE	Notre Dame	+7.6	backup
2013	R2, #37	Giovani Bernard	RB	North Carolina	-18.5	backup
2013	R2, #53	Margus Hunt	DE	SMU	-47.6	bust
2013	R3, #84	Shawn Williams	DB	Georgia	+7.9	backup
2013	R4, #118	Sean Porter	LB	Texas A&M	-47.7	active
2013	R5, #156	Tanner Hawkinson	T	Kansas	-39.7	active
2013	R6, #190	Rex Burkhead	RB	Nebraska	+55.3	backup
2013	R6, #197	Cobi Hamilton	WR	Arkansas	+18.1	starter
2013	R7, #240	Reid Fragel	OL	Ohio St.	-22.9	active
2013	R7, #251	T.J. Johnson	C	South Carolina	-5.7	backup
2012	R1, #17	Dre Kirkpatrick	DB	Alabama	-18.4	backup
2012	R1, #27	Kevin Zeitler	G	Wisconsin	+15.0	starter
2012	R2, #53	Devon Still	DT	Penn St.	-47.6	bust
2012	R3, #83	Mohamed Sanu	WR	Rutgers	+21.9	starter
2012	R3, #93	Brandon Thompson	DT	Clemson	-38.1	bust
2012	R4, #116	Orson Charles	TE	Georgia	-30.9	backup
2012	R5, #156	Shaun Prater	DB	Iowa	-29.7	active
2012	R5, #166	Marvin Jones	WR	California	+51.4	starter
2012	R5, #167	George Iloka	DB	Boise St.	-22.5	backup
2012	R6, #191	Dan Herron	RB	Ohio St.	-17.6	backup

Questions

How good is Duke Tobin at drafting?

Duke Tobin has 35 starters and 12 busts from 123 picks, with a hit rate of 34% and -10.2 Draft Value Added per pick. A positive number means the picks outperformed their draft slot.

How good is Duke Tobin at evaluating wide receivers?

Duke Tobin has drafted 15 wide receivers: 8 starters, 1 busts, +4.8 DVA per pick. That is 10.8 points above the league average for wide receivers.

How good is Duke Tobin at evaluating defensive ends?

Duke Tobin has drafted 12 defensive ends: 1 starters, 4 busts, -27.9 DVA per pick. That is 14.0 points below the league average for defensive ends.

How good is Duke Tobin at evaluating running backs?

Duke Tobin has drafted 12 running backs: 2 starters, 1 busts, -5.4 DVA per pick. That is 4.0 points below the league average for running backs.

Filter every pick by Duke Tobin