Bengals · current general manager
Duke Tobin Draft History and Grades
14 draft classes, 2012-2025. Every pick graded against its slot.
The answer
Duke Tobin has made 123 picks. 35 became starters and 12 were busts. Draft Value Added per pick: -10.2, league average -7.6. That ranks 41 of 55 GMs with 20+ picks.
Best at wide receivers (+10.8 vs league on 15 picks) and linebackers (+5.3 vs league on 13 picks). Weakest at defensive linemen (-21.9 on 8 picks) and edge rushers (-10.8 on 16 picks).
123Picks
34%Hit rateleague 40%
28%Starter rateleague 31%
27%Bust rate (R1-3)league 31%
-10.2DVA per pickleague -7.6
Open Duke Tobin in the draft explorer All GMs ranked
By position
Draft Value Added compares each pick's peak season to what that draft slot usually produces. Click a position to see those picks in the explorer.
| Pos | Picks | Starters | Busts | Hit | DVA/pick | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | 22 | 8 | 1 | 24% | -16.5 | -9.9 vs league |
| CB | 17 | 6 | 0 | 35% | -8.2 | +3.3 vs league |
| EDGE | 16 | 2 | 5 | 19% | -23.2 | -10.8 vs league |
| WR | 15 | 8 | 1 | 67% | +4.8 | +10.8 vs league |
| LB | 13 | 2 | 1 | 46% | -0.7 | +5.3 vs league |
| RB | 12 | 2 | 1 | 27% | -5.4 | -3.0 vs league |
| DL | 8 | 2 | 3 | 12% | -30.2 | -21.9 vs league |
| TE | 8 | 2 | 0 | 43% | +0.6 | -2.1 vs league |
| S | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25% | -3.8 | -2.3 vs league |
| QB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 25% | -18.8 | +3.5 vs league |
| K | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | too few to judge |
| P | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | too few to judge |
Best and worst picks
Best value
- Deshaun Davis (LB, R6 2019) +65 DVA
- Markus Bailey (LB, R7 2020) +61 DVA
- Rex Burkhead (RB, R6 2013) +55 DVA
Worst value
- Shemar Stewart (EDGE, R1 2025) -66 DVA
- Renell Wren (DL, R4 2019) -50 DVA
- Josh Malone (WR, R4 2017) -49 DVA
Tenure
- Bengals: 2012-present (Director of player personnel; Mike Brown holds the title but Tobin runs the draft)
Whoever was in the chair on draft day owns that class. Our pick window starts in 2012, so earlier classes are not counted.
Every pick
16 picks are from the last two drafts and still developing.
| Year | Pick | Player | Pos | School | DVA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | R1, #17 | Shemar Stewart | EDGE | Texas A&M | -66.4 | developing |
| 2025 | R2, #49 | Demetrius Knight | LB | South Carolina | -42.1 | developing |
| 2025 | R3, #81 | Dylan Fairchild | OL | Georgia | -47.7 | developing |
| 2025 | R4, #119 | Barrett Carter | LB | Clemson | -45.6 | developing |
| 2025 | R5, #153 | Jalen Rivers | OL | Miami (FL) | -36.6 | developing |
| 2025 | R6, #193 | Tahj Brooks | RB | Texas Tech | - | developing |
| 2024 | R1, #18 | Amarius Mims | OL | Georgia | -23.9 | starter |
| 2024 | R2, #49 | Kris Jenkins | DL | Michigan | -26.5 | bust |
| 2024 | R3, #80 | Jermaine Burton | WR | Alabama | -43.4 | bust |
| 2024 | R3, #97 | McKinnley Jackson | DL | Texas A&M | -19.5 | developing |
| 2024 | R4, #115 | Erick All | TE | Iowa | -15.6 | developing |
| 2024 | R5, #149 | Josh Newton | CB | TCU | -13.1 | developing |
| 2024 | R6, #194 | Tanner McLachlan | TE | Arizona | - | developing |
| 2024 | R6, #214 | Cedric Johnson | EDGE | Mississippi | +16.6 | developing |
| 2024 | R7, #224 | Daijahn Anthony | S | Mississippi | - | developing |
| 2024 | R7, #237 | Matt Lee | OL | Miami (FL) | - | developing |
| 2023 | R1, #28 | Myles Murphy | EDGE | Clemson | -27.1 | bust |
| 2023 | R2, #60 | DJ Turner | CB | Michigan | +20.6 | starter |
| 2023 | R3, #95 | Jordan Battle | CB | Alabama | -9.2 | starter |
| 2023 | R4, #131 | Charlie Jones | WR | Purdue | -29.9 | backup |
| 2023 | R5, #163 | Chase Brown | RB | Illinois | +46.1 | starter |
| 2023 | R6, #206 | Andrei Iosivas | WR | Princeton | +17.0 | starter |
| 2023 | R6, #217 | Brad Robbins | P | Michigan | - | active |
| 2023 | R7, #246 | DJ Ivey | CB | Miami (FL) | -6.7 | backup |
| 2022 | R1, #31 | Daxton Hill | CB | Michigan | +3.4 | starter |
| 2022 | R2, #60 | Cam Taylor-Britt | CB | Nebraska | -17.9 | starter |
| 2022 | R3, #95 | Zachary Carter | EDGE | Florida | -37.7 | bust |
| 2022 | R4, #136 | Cordell Volson | OL | North Dakota St. | -28.7 | starter |
| 2022 | R5, #166 | Tycen Anderson | S | Toledo | -22.7 | backup |
| 2022 | R7, #252 | Jeff Gunter | EDGE | Coastal Carolina | -10.5 | active |
| 2021 | R1, #5 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | LSU | +13.7 | starter |
| 2021 | R2, #46 | Jackson Carman | OL | Clemson | +6.4 | active |
| 2021 | R3, #69 | Joseph Ossai | LB | Texas | +11.9 | backup |
| 2021 | R4, #111 | Cameron Sample | EDGE | Tulane | -12.5 | backup |
| 2021 | R4, #122 | Tyler Shelvin | DL | LSU | -46.8 | active |
| 2021 | R4, #139 | D'Ante Smith | OL | East Carolina | +6.6 | active |
| 2021 | R5, #149 | Evan McPherson | K | Florida | - | backup |
| 2021 | R6, #190 | Trey Hill | OL | Georgia | -22.8 | active |
| 2021 | R6, #202 | Chris Evans | RB | Michigan | -15.4 | backup |
| 2021 | R7, #235 | Wyatt Hubert | EDGE | Kansas St. | -23.9 | released |
| 2020 | R1, #1 | Joe Burrow | QB | LSU | +5.8 | starter |
| 2020 | R2, #33 | Tee Higgins | WR | Clemson | +23.4 | starter |
| 2020 | R3, #65 | Logan Wilson | LB | Wyoming | +14.8 | starter |
| 2020 | R4, #107 | Akeem Davis-Gaither | LB | Appalachian St. | -6.5 | backup |
| 2020 | R5, #147 | Khalid Kareem | EDGE | Notre Dame | -39.8 | backup |
| 2020 | R6, #180 | Hakeem Adeniji | OL | Kansas | -35.7 | backup |
| 2020 | R7, #215 | Markus Bailey | LB | Purdue | +61.3 | backup |
| 2019 | R1, #11 | Jonah Williams | OL | Alabama | +8.6 | starter |
| 2019 | R2, #52 | Drew Sample | TE | Washington | -8.2 | starter |
| 2019 | R3, #72 | Germaine Pratt | LB | North Carolina St. | +33.9 | starter |
| 2019 | R4, #104 | Ryan Finley | QB | North Carolina St. | -42.0 | starter |
| 2019 | R4, #125 | Renell Wren | DL | Arizona St. | -50.1 | active |
| 2019 | R4, #136 | Michael Jordan | OL | Ohio St. | -23.0 | starter |
| 2019 | R6, #182 | Trayveon Williams | RB | Texas A&M | -38.5 | backup |
| 2019 | R6, #210 | Deshaun Davis | LB | Auburn | +64.6 | released |
| 2019 | R6, #211 | Rodney Anderson | RB | Oklahoma | -28.6 | released |
| 2019 | R7, #223 | Jordan Brown | CB | South Dakota St. | -26.2 | released |
| 2018 | R1, #21 | Billy Price | OL | Ohio St. | -0.6 | starter |
| 2018 | R2, #54 | Jessie Bates III | S | Wake Forest | +30.7 | starter |
| 2018 | R3, #77 | Sam Hubbard | EDGE | Ohio St. | +27.4 | starter |
| 2018 | R3, #78 | Malik Jefferson | EDGE | Texas | -41.5 | bust |
| 2018 | R4, #112 | Mark Walton | RB | Miami (FL) | -39.0 | active |
| 2018 | R5, #151 | Davontae Harris | CB | Illinois St. | -31.2 | backup |
| 2018 | R5, #158 | Andrew Brown | EDGE | Virginia | -40.2 | active |
| 2018 | R5, #170 | Darius Phillips | CB | Western Michigan | +37.5 | backup |
| 2018 | R7, #249 | Logan Woodside | QB | Toledo | -11.1 | active |
| 2018 | R7, #252 | Rod Taylor | OL | Mississippi | -20.5 | released |
| 2018 | R7, #253 | Auden Tate | WR | Florida St. | +38.2 | backup |
| 2017 | R1, #9 | John Ross | WR | Washington | -5.5 | starter |
| 2017 | R2, #48 | Joe Mixon | RB | Oklahoma | +20.4 | starter |
| 2017 | R3, #73 | Jordan Willis | EDGE | Kansas St. | -17.4 | backup |
| 2017 | R4, #116 | Carl Lawson | EDGE | Auburn | +33.2 | starter |
| 2017 | R4, #128 | Josh Malone | WR | Tennessee | -48.7 | active |
| 2017 | R4, #138 | Ryan Glasgow | DL | Michigan | -24.3 | active |
| 2017 | R5, #153 | Jake Elliott | K | Memphis | - | backup |
| 2017 | R5, #176 | JJ Dielman | OL | Utah | -35.6 | released |
| 2017 | R6, #193 | Jordan Evans | LB | Oklahoma | +6.7 | backup |
| 2017 | R6, #207 | Brandon Wilson | RB | Houston | -14.4 | backup |
| 2017 | R7, #251 | Mason Schreck | TE | Buffalo | -11.3 | active |
| 2016 | R1, #24 | William Jackson III | CB | Houston | +7.5 | starter |
| 2016 | R2, #55 | Tyler Boyd | WR | Pittsburgh | +25.5 | starter |
| 2016 | R3, #87 | Nick Vigil | LB | Utah St. | -5.6 | backup |
| 2016 | R4, #122 | Andrew Billings | DL | Baylor | +11.3 | starter |
| 2016 | R5, #161 | Christian Westerman | OL | Arizona St. | -28.7 | active |
| 2016 | R6, #199 | Cody Core | WR | Mississippi | +12.1 | backup |
| 2016 | R7, #245 | Clayton Fejedelem | S | Illinois | -6.9 | backup |
| 2015 | R1, #21 | Cedric Ogbuehi | OL | Texas A&M | -32.2 | bust |
| 2015 | R2, #53 | Jake Fisher | OL | Oregon | -11.2 | backup |
| 2015 | R3, #85 | Tyler Kroft | TE | Rutgers | +17.8 | backup |
| 2015 | R3, #99 | Paul Dawson | LB | TCU | -41.8 | bust |
| 2015 | R4, #120 | Josh Shaw | CB | USC | -32.3 | backup |
| 2015 | R4, #135 | Marcus Hardison | EDGE | Arizona St. | -44.1 | released |
| 2015 | R5, #157 | C.J. Uzomah | TE | Auburn | +44.9 | starter |
| 2015 | R6, #197 | Derron Smith | S | Fresno St. | -16.4 | backup |
| 2015 | R7, #238 | Mario Alford | WR | West Virginia | -23.3 | active |
| 2014 | R1, #24 | Darqueze Dennard | CB | Michigan St. | +11.7 | starter |
| 2014 | R2, #55 | Jeremy Hill | RB | LSU | -9.1 | bust |
| 2014 | R3, #88 | Will Clarke | EDGE | West Virginia | -39.3 | bust |
| 2014 | R4, #111 | Russell Bodine | OL | North Carolina | +33.2 | starter |
| 2014 | R5, #164 | A.J. McCarron | QB | Alabama | -28.1 | active |
| 2014 | R6, #212 | Marquis Flowers | LB | Arizona | -13.4 | backup |
| 2014 | R7, #239 | James Wright | WR | LSU | +2.1 | active |
| 2014 | R7, #252 | Lavelle Westbrooks | CB | Georgia Southern | -20.5 | released |
| 2013 | R1, #21 | Tyler Eifert | TE | Notre Dame | +7.6 | backup |
| 2013 | R2, #37 | Giovani Bernard | RB | North Carolina | -18.5 | backup |
| 2013 | R2, #53 | Margus Hunt | EDGE | SMU | -47.6 | bust |
| 2013 | R3, #84 | Shawn Williams | CB | Georgia | +7.9 | backup |
| 2013 | R4, #118 | Sean Porter | LB | Texas A&M | -47.7 | active |
| 2013 | R5, #156 | Tanner Hawkinson | OL | Kansas | -39.7 | active |
| 2013 | R6, #190 | Rex Burkhead | RB | Nebraska | +55.3 | backup |
| 2013 | R6, #197 | Cobi Hamilton | WR | Arkansas | +18.1 | starter |
| 2013 | R7, #240 | Reid Fragel | OL | Ohio St. | -22.9 | active |
| 2013 | R7, #251 | T.J. Johnson | OL | South Carolina | -5.7 | backup |
| 2012 | R1, #17 | Dre Kirkpatrick | CB | Alabama | -18.4 | backup |
| 2012 | R1, #27 | Kevin Zeitler | OL | Wisconsin | +15.0 | starter |
| 2012 | R2, #53 | Devon Still | DL | Penn St. | -47.6 | bust |
| 2012 | R3, #83 | Mohamed Sanu | WR | Rutgers | +21.9 | starter |
| 2012 | R3, #93 | Brandon Thompson | DL | Clemson | -38.1 | bust |
| 2012 | R4, #116 | Orson Charles | TE | Georgia | -30.9 | backup |
| 2012 | R5, #156 | Shaun Prater | CB | Iowa | -29.7 | active |
| 2012 | R5, #166 | Marvin Jones | WR | California | +51.4 | starter |
| 2012 | R5, #167 | George Iloka | CB | Boise St. | -22.5 | backup |
| 2012 | R6, #191 | Dan Herron | RB | Ohio St. | -17.6 | backup |
Questions
How good is Duke Tobin at drafting?
Duke Tobin has 35 starters and 12 busts from 123 picks, with a hit rate of 34% and -10.2 Draft Value Added per pick. A positive number means the picks outperformed their draft slot.
How good is Duke Tobin at evaluating offensive linemen?
Duke Tobin has drafted 22 offensive linemen: 8 starters, 1 busts, -16.5 DVA per pick. That is 9.9 points below the league average for offensive linemen.
How good is Duke Tobin at evaluating cornerbacks?
Duke Tobin has drafted 17 cornerbacks: 6 starters, 0 busts, -8.2 DVA per pick. That is 3.3 points above the league average for cornerbacks.
How good is Duke Tobin at evaluating edge rushers?
Duke Tobin has drafted 16 edge rushers: 2 starters, 5 busts, -23.2 DVA per pick. That is 10.8 points below the league average for edge rushers.