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Ja'Marr Chase

WR·Cincinnati Bengals·#1·6'0"·205 lb·5th year·LSU
Tier 1Round 1, pick 5 in 2021
Updated November 6, 2026
93.0
Model Score
Same as last year
Trade value ·a top-10 pick

Ja'Marr Chase has 43 catches, 492 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns in 7 games for the Cincinnati Bengals this season through Week 8, 18.3 PPR points a game (updated November 6, 2026).

Model Score by season

Holding at 93.0.

809010093.0202120222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

An all-time great receiver whose only ceiling is his quarterback's health.

The case for

  • Back-to-back first-team All-Pros (2024, 2025) and five straight Pro Bowls; the trophy case is in the all-time elite bracket.
  • 2024 NFL triple crown (receptions, yards, TDs) plus the 2021 OROY; the resume has no holes left.

The worry

  • Joe Burrow's STTM #13 tier 4 rank in 2025 reflects the games-missed risk; Chase's ceiling is tied to QB availability.
  • Recent game log includes a 6 PPR week (Wk 11) when Burrow was out; the floor games happen when the QB sits.

What to watch: Whether Burrow plays 17 games in 2026; Chase's stat-line scales linearly with his QB's availability.

Full take and bio

Chase at STTM #4 tier 1 in 2025 closes a four-year stretch of tier-1 finishes punctuated by the 2024 triple crown and back-to-back first-team All-Pro nods. The career 13-plus YPC on 520 catches matches the all-time elite tier. The Burrow injury-availability cap is the only ceiling argument; the talent and rank have nothing left to prove.

Chase was born in Harvey, Louisiana, played at Archbishop Rummel, and won the 2019 Biletnikoff Award and a CFP national title at LSU before the Bengals took him fifth overall in the 2021 NFL Draft. He has since made five straight Pro Bowls (2021-2025), won 2021 OROY, earned first-team All-Pro in 2024 and 2025, and won the 2024 receiving triple crown (yards, receptions, TDs). Career line is 520 catches for 6,837 yards and 54 TDs across five seasons.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Wes Welker, Davante Adams, Art Monk. Built like: Mark Bradley, Bethel Johnson, Odell Beckham, Jr..

Ja'Marr Chase Props This Weekat ATL Sun Nov 8

MarketLineOverUnder
Receptions6.5-115 DraftKings+112 FanDuel
Receiving yards75.5-113 DraftKings-111 DraftKings
Longest reception24.5-118 DraftKings-110 DraftKings
Anytime TD-110 FanDuel

Best price across 9 books as of Thu Nov 5. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Ja'Marr's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Ja'Marr Chase Injury StatusNot listed

Ja'Marr Chase is not on the injury report as of Nov 6. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 7 games

Rec438th
Rec Yds49216th
Rec TD62nd
Targets6116th
Yds/Gm70.315th
Fantasy PPG18.37th
EPA / target1.11527th
Avg separation3.0 yd24th
Avg cushion6.6 yd
YAC over exp1.56th
Catch %70.6%

18.3 fantasy points a game, 128 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$26.2M
APY
$40.2M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$73.9M
Years on Deal
6
Signed
2025
Est. Value
$39.4M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Ja'Marr Chase at WR3 (the public consensus says WR2); the model has 160 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits ATL.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 5 to the Cincinnati Bengals in 2021, out of LSU (SEC). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#5
Consensus board3rd
Our college model#28 WR

In college, 2018-2019, 26 games: 107 rec, 2,130 yds, 23 TD, 19.9 yds/rec. (partial record)

Recruited

Class of 2018 · Receiver · High school: Archbishop Rummel, Metairie, LA

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 84 in the nation. Composite 0.9589, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
LSU

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2018 class are still being added.

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