Ja'Marr Chase
Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 16 games
Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats
STM Take
Chase at STTM #4 tier 1 in 2025 closes a four-year stretch of tier-1 finishes punctuated by the 2024 triple crown and back-to-back first-team All-Pro nods. The career 13-plus YPC on 520 catches matches the all-time elite tier. The Burrow injury-availability cap is the only ceiling argument; the talent and rank have nothing left to prove.
Chase was born in Harvey, Louisiana, played at Archbishop Rummel, and won the 2019 Biletnikoff Award and a CFP national title at LSU before the Bengals took him fifth overall in the 2021 NFL Draft. He has since made five straight Pro Bowls (2021-2025), won 2021 OROY, earned first-team All-Pro in 2024 and 2025, and won the 2024 receiving triple crown (yards, receptions, TDs). Career line is 520 catches for 6,837 yards and 54 TDs across five seasons.
Strengths
- Back-to-back first-team All-Pros (2024, 2025) and five straight Pro Bowls; the trophy case is in the all-time elite bracket.
- 2024 NFL triple crown (receptions, yards, TDs) plus the 2021 OROY; the resume has no holes left.
Concerns
- Joe Burrow's STTM #13 tier 4 rank in 2025 reflects the games-missed risk; Chase's ceiling is tied to QB availability.
- Recent game log includes a 6 PPR week (Wk 11) when Burrow was out; the floor games happen when the QB sits.
What to watch: Whether Burrow plays 17 games in 2026; Chase's stat-line scales linearly with his QB's availability.
Fantasy Outlook
Ja'Marr Chase scored 316 PPR points, 19.7 per game this season. Compare him against any WR and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.
