Joe Burrow
Cincinnati BengalsJoe Burrow has 2,115 passing yards, 20 touchdown passes, 6 interceptions and 70 rushing yards in 7 games for the Cincinnati Bengals this season through Week 8, 24.5 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).
Model Score by season
Up 8.4 from last season.
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
A tier-one quarterback whose body keeps shortening the season.
The case for
- Career 68.5 percent completion percentage is the NFL career record, and his 2024 triple crown (yards, TDs, completion percentage) is the strongest single-year case in the field outside Maye and Allen.
- Two Comeback Player of the Year awards and three Pro Bowls in his first six seasons.
The worry
- STTM rank dropped from #2 tier 1 in 2024 to #13 tier 4 in 2025, almost entirely a games-played story.
- Game-log gap from Week 2 to Week 13 in 2025 confirms multi-month absences are now a recurring feature, not a single-event injury.
What to watch: Games played. Every other piece of the profile prices in as tier 1; the rank only rebuilds with availability.
Full take and bio
Burrow at STTM #13 tier 4 in 2025 is the one rank on the list driven almost entirely by games-played risk. The 2024 statistical sweep (yards, TDs, completion percentage) was a tier-1 profile; the 2025 drop reflects the time he missed, not a true skill regression. The career baseline is a healthy tier-1 quarterback; the question is whether the body will let that show up for 17 games.
Burrow was born in Ames, Iowa, transferred from Ohio State to LSU, and won the 2019 Heisman Trophy plus the College Football Playoff national title in a single season at LSU. Cincinnati drafted him first overall in 2020. He has since won NFL Comeback Player of the Year twice (2021 and 2024), made three Pro Bowls, led the league in passing yards, touchdowns, and completion percentage in 2024, and holds the NFL career completion percentage record at 68.5 percent.
Comps
The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.
Plays like: Drew Bledsoe, Tom Brady, Dak Prescott. Built like: Jay Cutler, Drew Stanton, Kyle McCord. Coming out: Dwayne Haskins, Andrew Luck, David Carr.
Of his 20 closest coming out: 2 stars, 7 starters, 8 backups, 3 didn't stick.
Joe Burrow Props This Weekat ATL Sun Nov 8
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 272.5 | -115 Bovada | -115 Bovada |
| Rushing yards | 5.5 | -115 Bovada | -115 Bovada |
| Anytime TD | +450 BetOnline |
Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
Play Joe's numbers on Underdog · partner link
Joe Burrow Injury StatusNot listed
Joe Burrow is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
This season · 7 games
24.5 fantasy points a game, 172 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.
Contract2026 cap
Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.
Fantasy outlookWeek 9
Our rest-of-season board has Joe Burrow at QB4; the model has 200 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits ATL.
Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.
Draft & College
Round 1, pick 1 to the Cincinnati Bengals in 2020, out of LSU (SEC). He went about where consensus had him.
In college, 2016-2019, 36 games: 8,611 pass yds, 79 TD, 9 INT, 64.2% completions.
Recruited
Class of 2015 · Quarterback · High school: Athens, The Plains, OH
His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2015 class are still being added.