FinalCIN 27, PIT 30Steelers by 3
SpreadCIN -3.5Steelers covered
Total42.5went over, 57 points
OpenedCIN -1.5moved 2 points by kickoff
The run game. Expect the Steelers to run it until the Bengals prove they can stop it.
Sunday: Steelers ran for 138 yards on 23 carries.
The model's reads, Over 42.5: it won.
The depth charts as they stand today.
Steelers run game, 1st, against a run defense ranked 27th.
Longer bar, better unit.
Bengals with the ball
Bengals offenseSteelers defense
1st
Passing13th
20th
Run game13th
25th
Pass rush11th
1st
Third down11th
15th
Big plays26th
17th
Turnovers10th
4th
Red zone2nd
Steelers with the ball
Steelers offenseBengals defense
28th
Passing16th
1st
Run game27th
20th
Pass rush19th
13th
Third down28th
10th
Big plays20th
12th
Turnovers25th
28th
Red zone5th
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 9 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.
Bengals scored 27 against a team total of 23: over.
Bengals scored 27 against a team total of 23: over. the spread and total, split.
Steelers scored 30 against a team total of 19.5: over. the spread and total, split.
Steelers have covered 10 of 10 at home in a division game.
Steelers have covered 10 of 10 at home in a division gamecovered
25 of 47 everywhere else, 2023-2026, new coach in 2026, new QB in 2025 · points to Steelers +3.5
Steelers have covered 9 of 10 in a division game after a losscovered
26 of 47 everywhere else, 2023-2026, new coach in 2026, new QB in 2025 · points to Steelers +3.5
Steelers have covered 20 of 29 at homecovered
15 of 28 everywhere else, 2023-2026, new coach in 2026, new QB in 2025 · points to Steelers +3.5
1 more team trends
Steelers have covered 3 of the last 4 meetings
Last time, 2025 week 11: Bengals 12, Steelers 34, Steelers covered.
The situations on the schedule that fit this game.
This week · Bengals after winning by 14 or more in the first four weeks with a head coach in year eight or later with the team
27-46
this game200020052010201520202025
27 covered46 did notevery game since 1999, 37%; since 2021 3-15
The last time the Bengals were here, Sep 21, 2014: beat the Titans by 26 as a 6.5-point favorite.
Inside the luck line: 73 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Steelers.
Tee Higgins has 7 of his last 9 games in division games with a receiving touchdown.
Tee HigginsWRhit, 1 rec TD
Tee Higgins has 7 of his last 9 games in division games with a receiving touchdown. 17 of 42 everywhere else, 2024-2026.
Jaylen Warren has 7 of his last 9 games in division games with 50+ rushing yards. 14 of 45 everywhere else, 2024-2026.
Rico Dowdle has 7 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards. 7 of 28 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
6 more player trends
Mike Gesicki has 6 of his last 9 games as a favorite with a receiving touchdown. 6 of 28 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
Chase Brown has 7 of his last 9 games in division games with 50+ rushing yards. 16 of 34 everywhere else, 2024-2026.
Joe Burrow has 7 of his last 9 games on the road with 2+ passing touchdowns. 18 of 27 everywhere else, 2024-2026.
Ja'Marr Chase has 8 of his last 9 games on the road as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards. 36 of 49 everywhere else, 2024-2026.
Tee HigginsWRhit, 90 rec yds
Tee Higgins has 8 of his last 9 games in division games with 50+ receiving yards. 26 of 42 everywhere else, 2024-2026.
Joe BurrowQBhit, 282 pass yds
Joe Burrow has 7 of his last 9 games on the road outdoors with 250+ passing yards. 21 of 33 everywhere else, 2024-2026.