PIT at 
CLEPIT -3 / PIT -1.83Sun 9:30 AM
IND at 
WASIND -4.5 / WAS -0.51Sun 1:00 PM
ARI at 
NYGNYG -2.5 / ARI -0.22Sun 1:00 PM
DAL at 
HOUHOU -3 / HOU -3.33Sun 1:00 PM
GB at 
TBGB -1.5 / TB -1.3Sun 1:00 PM
JAX at 
CINCIN -3 / CIN -2.33Sun 1:00 PM
LA at 
PHILA -2.5 / PHI -2.67Sun 1:00 PM
NE at 
BUFBUF -5.5 / BUF -6.23Sun 1:00 PM
NYJ at 
CHICHI -3 / CHI -3.85Sun 1:00 PM
TEN at 
BALBAL -10.5 / BAL -10.07Sun 4:05 PM
MIA at 
MINMIN -10.5 / MIN -8.81Sun 4:25 PM
DEN at 
SFSF -3 / SF -3.29Sun 4:25 PM
KC at 
LVKC -6 / KC -4.69Sun 4:25 PM
LAC at 
SEASEA -6.5 / SEA -5.56Sun 8:20 PM
DET at 
CARDET -3 / DET -1.53Mon 8:15 PM
ATL at 
NONO -3.5 / NO -3.56Depth charts and who's out
Who's out
Titans
Kylen Granson TECoach's DecisionOUT
Michael Carter RBCoach's DecisionOUT
Atonio Mafi GCoach's DecisionOUT
Brandon Crenshaw-Dickson OTCoach's DecisionOUT
Jackie Marshall DTCoach's DecisionOUT
12 more
Jaylon Jones CBCoach's DecisionOUT
Jaren Kanak TEPectoralIR
Dorian Mausi LBIR
Fernando Carmona GAnkleIR
Jackson Slater GFootIR
Jaylen Harrell LBKnee - ACLIR
Joshua Williams CBPectoralIR
Kendell Brooks SIR
Milo Eifler LBIR
Tanoh Kpassagnon DEIR
Tony Pollard RBAnkleQ
Tyjae Spears RBAnkleQ
Ravens
Ethan Pocic CKneeOUT
Jovaughn Gwyn GLower LegOUT
Adam Randall RBIR
Ja'Kobi Lane WRWristIR
Bilhal Kone CBLower BodyIR
3 more
Danny Pinter CKneeIR
T.J. Tampa CBKneeIR
Ronnie Stanley OTToeQ
Every read on this page assumes the man is on the field. Designations as of 2026-09-30.
The game
The model's play
Nothing on the official card for this game.
Weather at kickoff
Best price
The books have not been polled for this game yet.
The setting
The forecast has 0.07 inches of rain. Not enough on its own to move a total, but it is real.
The matchup
Titans with the ballTitans: throw on first and second down.
Ravens21stnow 13thRavens17thnow 26thTitans20thnow 21stthrow it as much as anyone 3rdrarely play two-high 3rd-lowestRavens with the ballRavens: find Flowers against zone.
Ravens29thnow 25thTitans19thrun it more than almost anyone lowestplay slow 4th-slowestload the box 6th-lowestNot a key: pace. Titans 24th and Ravens 29th in plays a game. Two of the slowest offenses in football, so the total leans under.
Big ranks are the 2025 regular season, 1st to 32nd, 1st best at the job either side; "now" is 2026 so far (2 to 3 games a team, too few to trust alone). top 8 bottom 8
The game plan in words, and every rank (2025 regular season)
Titans with the ballWhat they like to do Saleh's Titans throw it as much as anyone (3rd).
Where they win and lose They protect the football (2nd) and they cannot throw it (2nd-worst) and cannot move the ball (3rd-worst).
What the Ravens defense brings They rarely play two-high (3rd-lowest) and they cannot get a sack (2nd-worst).
What works against them Make them throw it (2nd-worst). Make them drive the length of the field (3rd-worst).
Where the two meet Titans: throw on first and second down. Titans pass on early downs 57.0%, 4th. Ravens are 9th-worst in early-down EPA allowed.
Ravens with the ballWhat they like to do Minter's Ravens run it more than almost anyone (lowest) and play slow (4th-slowest).
Where they win and lose They break explosive runs (1st) and run it well (2nd) and they get sacked (4th-worst).
What the Titans defense brings They load the box (6th-lowest) and they give it up (4th-worst) and never take it away (4th-worst).
What works against them Bring pressure: they take sacks (4th-worst).
Where the two meet Ravens: find Flowers against zone. In 2025: 0.41 EPA a target vs zone on 68 targets, 31st of 106 among receivers with 50+ targets. Titans played zone 73.4% in 2025, 11th. Ravens: give Jackson a clean pocket. 0.35 EPA a dropback clean, 7th of 36. Titans get pressure 29.8%, 14th-lowest.
Tennessee
Baltimore
The bets
What the model likes
Nothing on the official card for this game.
The information
All the evidence
Player angles
No posted player line has an angle firing on it this week.
Player trends
3 more player trends
Game angles
2 more game angles
Game trends
A lean is where a record points. Only a record past the luck line is a bet; the rest is reading. The bar's tick is the line to beat. Confidence runs from 50, a coin flip, to 100.
Every read in full: the scores, the story and the receipts
The player lines
No player lines posted for this game yet.
Player trends
Henry: 10 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.
Derrick HenryRB as a favorite with 50+ rushing yardsWhy 80
- The story No view on this one.
- The evidence 10 of 10 (100%) against a 63% baseline, 86% after shrinking for sample size.
- Agreement 2 other signals on the same side.
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR on the road with 6+ catchesWhy 77
- The story No view on this one.
- The evidence 8 of 10 (80%) against a 29% baseline, 60% after shrinking for sample size.
- Agreement 1 other signal on the same side.
See all 3 player trends
Zay FlowersWR outdoors as a favorite with 50+ receiving yardsWhy 72
- The story Against it: the Ravens lead big, so Jackson throws less; the Ravens play slow.
- The evidence 9 of 10 (90%) against a 50% baseline, 72% after shrinking for sample size.
- Agreement No other signal on this side.
The second number is the point. Everyone posts the first one.
Team trends
The last time the Ravens were here, Sep 20, 2026: lost to the Saints by 7 as a 8.5-point favorite.
Inside the luck line: 72 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Titans.
The last time the Titans were here, Nov 10, 2024: lost to the Chargers by 10 as a 8-point underdog.
Inside the luck line: 140 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Titans.
See all 6 team trends
The last time the Ravens were here, Sep 20, 2026: lost to the Saints by 7 as a 8.5-point favorite.
Inside the luck line: 308 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Titans.
Tennessee have gone over as an underdog of 7 or moreOn totals of 39.5 to 46.5; this game is 43.5, inside that.
Why 80
- The evidence 12 of 14 (86%) against a 40% baseline, 70% after shrinking for sample size.
- Agreement 2 other signals on the same side.
Tennessee have gone over as a road underdog after a lossOn totals of 37 to 46.5; this game is 43.5, inside that.
Why 72
- The evidence 11 of 15 (73%) against a 44% baseline, 57% after shrinking for sample size.
- Agreement 2 other signals on the same side.
Against the spread and the total, as far back as the current head coach and starting quarterback go (at least three seasons; each card says how far, and what changed). The second bar is the same team everywhere else, which is the number that tells you whether the first one means anything.
Model plays carry a live record. Prop spots and trends are situational reads, and no prop verdict has a graded record yet. A player and stat gets one verdict on this page: when reads disagree we weigh them, this season first, and name the side with the reasons against it.
History
Last meetings
- 2023 wk 6Ravens at TitansRavens won, Ravens covered24-16
- 2020 wk 18Ravens at TitansRavens won, Ravens covered20-13
- 2020 wk 11Titans at RavensTitans won, Titans covered30-24
Against the spread in these meetings: 2-1 to Ravens, on closing numbers.
The card
Betting PassThe number. The market has the Ravens by 11.5 at a total of 43.5: Ravens 27.5, Titans 16 on paper.
How it plays. The total of 43.5 is ordinary. Ravens play slow (29th in plays a game).
What changed. Titans: RB Tony Pollard questionable; 1 starting linemen out. Ravens: no starter on the report.
Model favorites
No favorite from 8 signals. The angles are reading, not picks. Data as of: forecast Wed 4:10 PM ET; injuries Wed 12:50 PM ET; model Sun 12:05 PM ET.
This season, by score: 70-79: 1-2 (-0.5u). 3 graded bets, every card, no cherry-picking.