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Derrick Henry

RB·Baltimore Ravens·#22·6'3"·252 lb·10th year·Alabama
Tier 1Round 2, pick 45 in 2016
Updated November 4, 2026
93.0
Model Score
Up from 86.7 last year
Trade value ·a 5th

Derrick Henry has 159 carries for 632 yards, 8 rushing touchdowns and 12 catches for 75 yards in 8 games for the Baltimore Ravens this season through Week 8, 17.1 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Up 6.3 from last season.

809010093.0201820192020202120222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A workhorse back refusing to age.

The case for

  • Most career games with 200+ rushing yards (7), most seasons with 12+ rushing TDs (7), and the only NFL 99-yard rushing TD on record.
  • 5.32 YPC on 328 carries in 2025 at age 32 with no efficiency drop from his Tennessee peak.

The worry

  • Receiving role is small (27 targets, 15 catches for 150 yards in 2025), so PPR floor depends entirely on the rushing volume staying.
  • Workload mileage now sits at 2,756 career carries; one injury reshapes the rank quickly.

What to watch: Whether Baltimore keeps the carry share above 320 in 2026, the workload floor that makes the tier-1 finish reproducible.

Full take and bio

Henry at STTM #3 tier 1 in his second Baltimore year, age 32, with 17 games started and 328 carries for 1,745 yards (5.32 YPC). Two straight tier-1 finishes in BAL means the late-career decline that was supposed to come at age 30 has not arrived. The case for him in 2026 is the cleanest ageing-back profile in modern NFL history.

Henry was born in Yulee, Florida, won the 2015 Heisman, Maxwell, Doak Walker, and Walter Camp awards at Alabama, and helped the Tide to the 2015 national title. Tennessee took him 45th overall in the 2016 NFL Draft, where he won the 2020 NFL Offensive Player of the Year and led the league in rushing yards in 2019 and 2020. He signed with Baltimore in 2024 at age 30, made another Pro Bowl, and now owns 13,018 career rushing yards and 122 rushing TDs with five Pro Bowls and three NFL rushing TD titles.

Comps

No player since 1985 had a season like this around year 11 of a career.

Plays like: Emmitt Smith, Terry Allen, Chris Warren. Built like: Clay Harbor, Omar Easy, Greg Jones. Coming out: one of one, no NFL player had a college career this close.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 5 stars, 3 starters, 9 backups, 3 didn't stick.

Derrick Henry Props This Weekvs JAX Thu Nov 5

MarketLineOverUnder
Rushing yards73.5-115 DraftKings-109 DraftKings
Carries19.5-106 DraftKings-120 DraftKings
Receptions1.5-113 DraftKings-102 FanDuel
Receiving yards7.5-115 BetRivers-108 DraftKings
Anytime TD-117 Caesars

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Derrick's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Derrick Henry Injury StatusNot listed

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 8 games

Rush Yds6327th
Rush TD82nd
Rec1228th
Rec Yds7530th
Total TD93rd
Fantasy PPG17.111th
EPA / rush-0.11329th
Rush yds over exp1718th
Efficiency4.51
Time to line2.96s

17.1 fantasy points a game, 137 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$5.6M
APY
$15.0M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$25.0M
Years on Deal
3
Signed
2025
Est. Value
$7.5M/yr
overpaid by $7.5M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Derrick Henry at RB8 (the public consensus says RB11); the model has 162 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts JAX.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 45 to the Tennessee Titans in 2016, out of Alabama (SEC). He went earlier than consensus.

Taken#45
Consensus board79th
Our college model#143 RB

In college, 2014-2015, 29 games: 3,230 rush yds, 41 TD, 5.7 yds/carry, 16 rec. (partial record) Coming out: 4.54s 40 yd, 22 reps bench, 37" vertical, 130" broad, 7.2s 3-cone, 4.38s shuttle.

Recruited

Class of 2013 · Athlete · High school: Yulee, FL

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 12 in the nation. Composite 0.9929, the recruiting sites' average
Offer strength, our grade
93 of 100
Better offers than 99% of the 2013 class. How it is made
Offers
16
Schools that offered him a scholarship
Committed to
Alabama

His offer board, and the recruits whose boards look like it now →

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