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Zay Flowers

WR·Baltimore Ravens·#4·5'9"·183 lb·3rd year·Boston College
Tier 1Round 1, pick 22 in 2023
Updated November 4, 2026
83.1
Model Score
Down from 89.8 last year
Trade value ·a top-10 pick

Zay Flowers has 40 catches, 608 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns in 7 games for the Baltimore Ravens this season through Week 8, 17.5 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 6.7 from last season.

809083.12023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A small, versatile receiver now recognized as a top-ten weapon.

The case for

  • Two consecutive Pro Bowl nods (2024, 2025) at age 25, with a 1,000-plus yard 2025 season.
  • 237 catches through three seasons at a 5'9" 183-pound frame; the slot-plus-deep-threat versatility is rare.

The worry

  • Lamar's 2025 13-game season capped the deep-ball volume; another QB-availability year would hit Flowers first.
  • Recent game log includes a 0.6 PPR week (Wk 13); the size means he gets shut out when coverage doubles.

What to watch: Whether Lamar plays a full season in 2026; Flowers's tier-1 case lives on Baltimore's downfield passing volume.

Full take and bio

Flowers climbed from STTM #24 tier 3 as a rookie to #19 tier 3 to #7 tier 1 in 2025, his first tier-1 finish. The Lamar-availability story (STTM #21 tier 6 in 2025 with 13 games played) caps the upside, but the Pro Bowl validation alongside a 1,000-plus yard season at 5'9" 183 confirms the role is locked. Two straight Pro Bowls means the league acknowledges him as a top-10 WR.

Flowers was born in Fort Lauderdale as the 11th of 14 children; he lost his mother at age five and his brother during high school. He played four years at Boston College and broke the school records for career receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns. Baltimore took him 22nd overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. He has made two Pro Bowls (2024, 2025) and accumulated 237 catches for 3,128 yards and 14 TDs across three seasons.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: A.J. Green, Henry Ellard, Rob Moore. Built like: Tre Tucker, Jerrel Jernigan, Deion Branch. Coming out: Jahan Dotson, Andy Isabella, Diontae Johnson.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 6 starters, 6 backups, 5 didn't stick.

Zay Flowers Props This Weekvs JAX Thu Nov 5

MarketLineOverUnder
Receptions3.5-152 BetRivers+121 DraftKings
Receiving yards46.5-109 DraftKings-115 DraftKings
Anytime TD+330 Caesars

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Zay's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Zay Flowers Injury StatusNot listed

Zay Flowers is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 7 games

Rec4015th
Rec Yds6088th
Rec TD316th
Targets5817th
Yds/Gm86.97th
Fantasy PPG17.59th
EPA / target1.23818th
Avg separation2.9 yd25th
Avg cushion5.8 yd
YAC over exp3.32nd
Catch %66.1%

17.5 fantasy points a game, 122 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$7.9M
APY
$35.0M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$54.0M
Years on Deal
5
Signed
2026
Est. Value
$34.0M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Zay Flowers at WR6; the model has 164 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts JAX.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 22 to the Baltimore Ravens in 2023, out of Boston College (ACC). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#22
Consensus board21st
Our college model#56 WR

In college, 2019-2022, 47 games: 201 rec, 3,152 yds, 29 TD, 15.7 yds/rec.

Recruited

Class of 2019 · Receiver · High school: University School, Fort Lauderdale, FL

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 1,188 in the nation. Composite 0.8507, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
Boston College

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2019 class are still being added.

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