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Betting HQ · Week 6 · Sun 4:25 PM ET

ChargersatChiefs

KickoffSun 4:25 PMCBS
MarketKC -2.5the posted spread
Our numberFree with an emailsee our number for this game
Total42.5the posted total
Triggers6of our tested angles fire on this game; which ones, with the Pass

Where it turns: the passing game. Expect the Chargers to find nowhere to throw.

A Chargers win moves their playoff chances from 1% to 3%; a loss drops them to 0%. Play out the rest of their season →

A Chiefs win moves their playoff chances from 95% to 96%; a loss drops them to 88%. Play out the rest of their season →

Who's out

Chargers

12 more

Chiefs

2 more

Every read on this page assumes the man is on the field. Designations as of 2026-10-13.

Head to head

The longer bar is the better unit, and it takes its team's colour. A long coloured bar against a short grey one is where a side has the edge.

Chargers with the ball

Chargers offenseChiefs defense
31st
Passing
17th
29th
Run game
14th
32nd
Pass rush
25th
27th
Third down
20th
26th
Big plays
18th
32nd
Turnovers
11th
9th
Red zone
4th

Chiefs with the ball

Chiefs offenseChargers defense
5th
Passing
10th
1st
Run game
15th
4th
Pass rush
4th
10th
Third down
5th
3rd
Big plays
24th
8th
Turnovers
5th
14th
Red zone
11th

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 5, close-game snaps.

Bets and money

On the total, the money runs 50 points ahead of the bets on one side. Fewer people, betting bigger.

See the bets and the money→Every market, the share of tickets against the share of dollars. Free, just an email.

Team totals

Chargers team total 16.5 Bovada, over -110, under -120; the spread and total split it 17.0

Chiefs team total 26.5 Bovada, over -110, under -120; the spread and total split it 25.5

Team angles

Every past game that looked like this one, counted by the side it covered. More of them than luck would give point at Chargers +8.5 and Over 42.5.

Chargers +8.5some
2,549 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 994.
2.6xluck's count
Over 42.5some
2,800 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 1,366.
2.1xluck's count

The strongest angles behind each side, and the 4 situations on the schedule that fit this game, 1 past the luck line.

Get the Betting Pass→See which angles back each side. $5.41 a week, $119 for the season.

Player angles

The books have not posted player lines for this game yet; the angles on them land here when they do.

Model plays

Betting Pass

See our number for this game: free with an email.

See our number→Our own line on this game and how far it sits from the market. Free, just an email.

6 picks on the official card (2 bets, 4 watching): sized and priced, with the worst number to still bet each at.

Get the Betting Pass→See the plays, sized and priced. $5.41 a week, $119 for the season.

The card was last stamped Tue 12:34 PM ET, the same everywhere. If you bet with us all season: 60 and up 156-115-2, +24.2u.