Where it turns: the passing game. Expect the Chargers to find nowhere to throw.
A Chargers win moves their playoff chances from 1% to 3%; a loss drops them to 0%. Play out the rest of their season →
A Chiefs win moves their playoff chances from 95% to 96%; a loss drops them to 88%. Play out the rest of their season →
Depth charts and who's out
Who's out
Chargers
Tre' Harris WRHamstringDOUBTFUL
David Njoku TELower LegIR
KeAndre Lambert-Smith WRHamstringIR
Trey Lance QBGroinIR
Rashawn Slater OTAnkleIR
12 more
Trevor Penning GConcussionIR
Trey Pipkins III OTKneeIR
Tyler Biadasz CKneeIR
Brenen Thompson WRQuadricepsQ
Ladd McConkey WRFootQ
Quentin Johnston WRChestQ
Bud Dupree LBNeckQ
Derwin James Jr. SHamstringQ
Donte Jackson CBHamstringQ
Joe Alt OTNeckQ
Kayode Awosika GLower LegQ
Rodney Shelley CBHamstringQ
Chiefs
Omarr Norman-Lott DTKnee - ACLOUT
Jeff Caldwell WRKneeIR
Jimmy Holiday WRIR
Tyquan Thornton WRAnkleIR
Cooper McDonald LBKneeIR
2 more
Rashee Rice WRHamstringQ
Josh Simmons OTBackQ
Every read on this page assumes the man is on the field. Designations as of 2026-10-13.
Head to head
The longer bar is the better unit, and it takes its team's colour. A long coloured bar against a short grey one is where a side has the edge.
Chargers with the ball
Chiefs with the ball
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 5, close-game snaps.
Bets and money
On the total, the money runs 50 points ahead of the bets on one side. Fewer people, betting bigger.
See the bets and the money→Every market, the share of tickets against the share of dollars. Free, just an email.
Team totals
Chargers team total 16.5 Bovada, over -110, under -120; the spread and total split it 17.0
Chiefs team total 26.5 Bovada, over -110, under -120; the spread and total split it 25.5
Team trends
Each team's own record in a spot like this one, against its record everywhere else. A reason to lean, not a bet.
3 more team trends on this game.
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Team angles
Every past game that looked like this one, counted by the side it covered. More of them than luck would give point at Chargers +8.5 and Over 42.5.
The strongest angles behind each side, and the 4 situations on the schedule that fit this game, 1 past the luck line.
Get the Betting Pass→See which angles back each side. $5.41 a week, $119 for the season.
Player trends
Each player's own record in a spot like this one, his best stat first.
Player angles
The books have not posted player lines for this game yet; the angles on them land here when they do.
Model plays
Betting PassSee our number for this game: free with an email.
See our number→Our own line on this game and how far it sits from the market. Free, just an email.
6 picks on the official card (2 bets, 4 watching): sized and priced, with the worst number to still bet each at.
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The card was last stamped Tue 12:34 PM ET, the same everywhere. If you bet with us all season: 60 and up 156-115-2, +24.2u.