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Xavier Worthy

WR·Kansas City Chiefs·#1·5'11"·165 lb·2nd year·Texas
Tier 1Round 1, pick 28 in 2024
Updated November 4, 2026
71.0
Model Score
Down from 72.8 last year
Trade value ·a 4th

Xavier Worthy has 27 catches, 230 receiving yards and 1 touchdown in 7 games for the Kansas City Chiefs this season through Week 8, 8 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 1.8 from last season.

708071.0202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A record-breaking speedster stuck behind the stars in his offense.

The case for

  • 4.21 combine forty is genuinely the fastest WR time ever recorded. Rookie 638 receiving yards plus the 1st-round draft slot establishes a real developmental ceiling.
  • Andy Reid's offense values vertical speed; Worthy is the deep-shot answer KC has lacked since Tyreek Hill left.

The worry

  • Two straight tier 8 finishes for a 1st-round speed pick is the bust trajectory. Eight straight 2025 weeks under 12 PPR confirms the floor pattern.
  • Rashee Rice's contract through 2027 plus Travis Kelce's lock on the high-leverage targets means there is no obvious path to a defined WR1 role.

What to watch: Whether his 2026 target share clears 6 per game across the first six weeks, the threshold every 1st-round WR has historically needed to hit by Year 3 to avoid bust status.

Full take and bio

Two straight tier 8 finishes (#63, #78) for a 1st-round pick is a real concern, especially with the combine-record forty. The 2025 game log peaks at Wk 13's 11.4 PPR with eight straight weeks under 12 PPR. He is structurally behind Rashee Rice and Travis Kelce in the Andy Reid hierarchy, which caps his ceiling regardless of the speed.

Worthy came out of Texas as Kansas City's 1st-round pick (28th overall) in 2024 after running a 4.21 forty at the combine, the fastest WR time in combine history (breaking John Ross's 4.22). His college career produced 197 catches for 2,755 yards across three seasons. The Chiefs traded up to grab him after the Rashee Rice 2024 legal issues made the WR room a question. His rookie 2024 produced 638 receiving yards (tier 8 #63), and 2025's #78 (tier 8) finish was the disappointing Year 2 step back rather than the expected jump.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Pierre Garcon, Khalil Shakir, Harry Douglas. Built like: J.J. Nelson, Travis Benjamin, Yamon Figurs. Coming out: John Ross, Scott Miller, DeSean Jackson.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 3 starters, 11 backups, 3 didn't stick.

Xavier Worthy Props This Weekat DEN

MarketLineOverUnder
Receptions3.5+115 Bovada-150 Bovada
Receiving yards30.5-110 Bovada-120 Bovada

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Xavier's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Xavier Worthy Injury StatusNot listed

Xavier Worthy is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 7 games

Rec2736th
Rec Yds23055th
Rec TD137th
Targets4139th
Yds/Gm32.951st
Fantasy PPG8.046th
EPA / target0.57652nd
Avg separation3.5 yd7th
Avg cushion6.4 yd
YAC over exp-0.757th
Catch %63.1%

8 fantasy points a game, 56 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$3.8M
APY
$3.4M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$13.8M
Years on Deal
4
Signed
2024
Est. Value
$8.0M/yr
underpaid by $4.5M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Xavier Worthy at WR42 (the public consensus says WR38); the model has 94 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits DEN.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 28 to the Kansas City Chiefs in 2024, out of Texas (Big 12). He went earlier than consensus.

Taken#28
Consensus board41st
Our college model#35 WR

In college, 2021-2023, 39 games: 189 rec, 2,693 yds, 26 TD, 14.2 yds/rec.

Recruited

Class of 2021 · Receiver · High school: Central East, Fresno, CA

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 62 in the nation. Composite 0.9712, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
Texas

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2021 class are still being added.

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