Xavier Worthy
Kansas City Chiefs·#1Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 1 games
Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats
Draft & College
He went earlier than consensus.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
Two straight tier 8 finishes (#63, #78) for a 1st-round pick is a real concern, especially with the combine-record forty. The 2025 game log peaks at Wk 13's 11.4 PPR with eight straight weeks under 12 PPR. He is structurally behind Rashee Rice and Travis Kelce in the Andy Reid hierarchy, which caps his ceiling regardless of the speed.
Worthy came out of Texas as Kansas City's 1st-round pick (28th overall) in 2024 after running a 4.21 forty at the combine, the fastest WR time in combine history (breaking John Ross's 4.22). His college career produced 197 catches for 2,755 yards across three seasons. The Chiefs traded up to grab him after the Rashee Rice 2024 legal issues made the WR room a question. His rookie 2024 produced 638 receiving yards (tier 8 #63), and 2025's #78 (tier 8) finish was the disappointing Year 2 step back rather than the expected jump.
Strengths
- 4.21 combine forty is genuinely the fastest WR time ever recorded. Rookie 638 receiving yards plus the 1st-round draft slot establishes a real developmental ceiling.
- Andy Reid's offense values vertical speed; Worthy is the deep-shot answer KC has lacked since Tyreek Hill left.
Concerns
- Two straight tier 8 finishes for a 1st-round speed pick is the bust trajectory. Eight straight 2025 weeks under 12 PPR confirms the floor pattern.
- Rashee Rice's contract through 2027 plus Travis Kelce's lock on the high-leverage targets means there is no obvious path to a defined WR1 role.
What to watch: Whether his 2026 target share clears 6 per game across the first six weeks, the threshold every 1st-round WR has historically needed to hit by Year 3 to avoid bust status.
Fantasy Outlook
Xavier Worthy scored 5 PPR points, 4.8 per game this season. Compare him against any WR and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.