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Abdul Carter

EDGE·New York Giants
Tier 7Round 1, pick 3 in 2025
Updated October 22, 2026
77.1
Model Score
Down from 77.3 last year
Trade value ·a late 1st

Model Score by season

Down 0.2 from last season.

708077.120252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A decorated rookie edge still waiting on his jump.

The case for

  • 2024 Bednarik Award plus Lombardi Award plus 3rd overall pick establishes the highest college defensive pedigree of his draft class.
  • Year-one starter snaps for the Giants at age 22 gives him the developmental runway as the year-two jump approaches.

The worry

  • Rookie tier 7 (#50) finish is well below the year-one median for top-5 EDGE picks on Pro Bowl trajectories.
  • Giants' broader defensive identity instability plus the QB rebuild compresses the structural support around Carter's rookie chapter.

What to watch: Whether Carter crosses into tier 3 (top 25) in 2026, the standard year-two threshold for top-5 EDGE picks on Pro Bowl trajectories.

Full take and bio

Rookie tier 7 (#50) for a 3rd overall pick with the 2024 Bednarik Award plus Lombardi Award double is below the year-one median for top-5 EDGE prospects on Pro Bowl trajectories. The Penn State pedigree plus the elite college awards establishes the highest pre-draft expectation of the class. The 2026 question is whether Carter crosses into tier 3 territory in his year-two jump or whether the rookie tier 7 finish signals real structural concern.

Carter came out of Penn State as the New York Giants' 1st-round pick (3rd overall) in 2025 after winning the 2024 Bednarik Award as the nation's top defensive player plus the 2024 Lombardi Award. He was the consensus top defensive prospect in his draft class and the Giants' building block for the post-Daniel Jones rebuild. His rookie 2025 finish at tier 7 (#50) is below the year-one median for top-5 EDGE prospects on Pro Bowl trajectories.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Matt Longacre, Jordan Jenkins, Kamalei Correa. Built like: Chris Braswell, Mike Green, Alex Brown.

Abdul Carter Injury StatusNot listed

Abdul Carter is not on the injury report as of Oct 22. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 6 games

Sacks220th
Pressures726th
QB Hits411th
TFL234th
Tackles1416th
FF17th

Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 3 to the New York Giants in 2025, out of Penn State (Big Ten). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#3
Consensus board2nd
Our college model#70 EDGE

In college, 2022-2024, 42 games: 23.0 sacks, 40 TFL, 42 pressures, 166 tackles. Coming out: 4.48s 40 yd.

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