Andrew Van Ginkel

Minnesota Vikings

Pos EDGE

Updated October 8, 2026

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Model Score

80.2 MODEL

2020

75.7

2021

81.1

2022

66.4

2023

78.5

2024

87.7

2025

77.5

2026

80.2

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

2024 1st-team All-Pro plus the tier 3 (#17) Vikings breakout puts Van Ginkel in the rarest career-reset class at the position, but the 2025 tier 5 (#37) regression flags the 2024 finish as either Brian Flores scheme-driven or a one-year context spike. The Wisconsin 5th-round origin plus seven years of NFL development gives him real veteran value. The 2026 question is whether Van Ginkel returns to tier 3 territory or whether the 2025 finish is the new baseline.

Van Ginkel came out of Wisconsin as the Miami Dolphins' 5th-round pick (151st overall) in 2019 and spent four years as a rotational pass-rusher in Miami before signing with the Minnesota Vikings in 2024 free agency. He earned 2024 1st-team All-Pro recognition in his first Vikings season under defensive coordinator Brian Flores. His STTM career runs tier 4 (#32) in 2021, tier 8 (#106) in 2022, tier 7 (#55) in 2023, tier 3 (#17) breakout in 2024, and tier 5 (#37) in 2025.

Strengths

2024 1st-team All-Pro plus the tier 3 (#17) Vikings breakout as a 5th-round pick puts him in the rarest outlier-positive class at the position.
Seven years of NFL survival across two systems plus the 2024 1st-team All-Pro gives him real Pro Bowl-pedigree veteran market value.

Concerns

20-spot regression from tier 3 (#17) in 2024 to tier 5 (#37) in 2025 flags the 2024 finish as either scheme-driven or a one-year context spike.
Minnesota's broader defensive identity around Brian Flores's exotic scheme puts the 2026 ceiling partly outside Van Ginkel's control.

What to watch: Whether Van Ginkel returns to tier 3 (top 25) in 2026, the threshold for confirming the 2024 1st-team All-Pro was structural rather than scheme-specific.