Andrew Van Ginkel
Minnesota VikingsModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 12 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
2024 1st-team All-Pro plus the tier 3 (#17) Vikings breakout puts Van Ginkel in the rarest career-reset class at the position, but the 2025 tier 5 (#37) regression flags the 2024 finish as either Brian Flores scheme-driven or a one-year context spike. The Wisconsin 5th-round origin plus seven years of NFL development gives him real veteran value. The 2026 question is whether Van Ginkel returns to tier 3 territory or whether the 2025 finish is the new baseline.
Van Ginkel came out of Wisconsin as the Miami Dolphins' 5th-round pick (151st overall) in 2019 and spent four years as a rotational pass-rusher in Miami before signing with the Minnesota Vikings in 2024 free agency. He earned 2024 1st-team All-Pro recognition in his first Vikings season under defensive coordinator Brian Flores. His STTM career runs tier 4 (#32) in 2021, tier 8 (#106) in 2022, tier 7 (#55) in 2023, tier 3 (#17) breakout in 2024, and tier 5 (#37) in 2025.
Strengths
- 2024 1st-team All-Pro plus the tier 3 (#17) Vikings breakout as a 5th-round pick puts him in the rarest outlier-positive class at the position.
- Seven years of NFL survival across two systems plus the 2024 1st-team All-Pro gives him real Pro Bowl-pedigree veteran market value.
Concerns
- 20-spot regression from tier 3 (#17) in 2024 to tier 5 (#37) in 2025 flags the 2024 finish as either scheme-driven or a one-year context spike.
- Minnesota's broader defensive identity around Brian Flores's exotic scheme puts the 2026 ceiling partly outside Van Ginkel's control.
What to watch: Whether Van Ginkel returns to tier 3 (top 25) in 2026, the threshold for confirming the 2024 1st-team All-Pro was structural rather than scheme-specific.