Maxx Crosby
Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 15 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
Four straight Pro Bowls plus the 2023 1st-team All-Pro plus the 2022 tier 1 (#2) peak puts Crosby in the small group of edge defenders who carry their roster through multi-year team rebuilds. The Eastern Michigan 4th-round origin plus seven years of NFL elite production gives him one of the most outlier-positive draft-slot-vs-outcome arcs in the league. The 2026 question is whether Crosby returns to tier 1 territory or whether the 2024-2025 tier 2-3 finishes reflect structural decline.
Crosby came out of Eastern Michigan as the Las Vegas Raiders' 4th-round pick (106th overall) in 2019 and has made four Pro Bowls (2021-2024) plus earned 2023 1st-team All-Pro honors. He has anchored the Raiders' defense across multiple coaching transitions and signed a three-year, $106.5M extension in 2025. His STTM career runs tier 2 (#10) in 2021, tier 1 (#2) peak in 2022, tier 1 (#5) in 2023, tier 3 (#18) in 2024, and tier 2 (#13) in 2025.
Strengths
- Four Pro Bowls plus 2023 1st-team All-Pro plus the 2022 tier 1 (#2) peak as a 4th-round pick from Eastern Michigan puts him in the most outlier-positive class at the position.
- $106.5M three-year extension reflects the Raiders' view that the underlying pass-rush is structural rather than scheme-dependent.
Concerns
- Two-year drift from tier 1 (#5) in 2023 to tier 3 (#18) in 2024 to tier 2 (#13) in 2025 flags potential structural decline ahead of the new contract.
- Las Vegas's broader defensive identity instability plus the QB transition compresses the structural support around Crosby's continued dominance.
What to watch: Whether Crosby returns to tier 1 (top 10) in 2026 plus wins his fifth Pro Bowl, the threshold for confirming the $106.5M contract value is recoverable.
