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PlayerAzeez Al-Shaair · LB, Houston Texans, Model Score 81.9Be the Texans GM

Azeez Al-Shaair

Houston Texans
Pos LB
Updated October 8, 2026

Model Score

81.9 MODEL
2020
73.9
2021
81.9
2022
70.7
2023
96.0
2024
77.1
2025
82.6
2026
81.9

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Back-to-back tier 1 finishes (#8, #3) in 2023-2024 plus the Florida Atlantic UDFA origin puts Al-Shaair in the rarest outlier-positive class at the LB position. The 41-spot regression from tier 1 (#3) in 2024 to tier 6 (#44) in 2025 flags either injury, scheme shift, or one-year context spike. The 2026 question is whether Al-Shaair returns to tier 2-3 territory or whether the structural mid-career instability returns.

Al-Shaair came out of Florida Atlantic as a 2019 undrafted free agent signed by the San Francisco 49ers and played in Super Bowl LIV. He has bounced through the 49ers, Titans, and now Texans across seven NFL seasons, delivering back-to-back tier 1 finishes (#8, #3) in 2023-2024. His STTM career runs tier 1 (#8) in 2023, tier 1 (#3) peak in 2024, and tier 6 (#44) collapse in 2025.

Strengths

  • Back-to-back tier 1 finishes (#8, #3) in 2023-2024 as a 2019 UDFA puts him in the rarest outlier-positive class at the LB position.
  • Florida Atlantic Group of Five UDFA origin plus the Super Bowl LIV appearance gives him real outlier-positive career résumé.

Concerns

  • 41-spot regression from tier 1 (#3) in 2024 to tier 6 (#44) in 2025 flags either injury, scheme shift, or one-year context spike.
  • Houston's broader defensive identity around the C.J. Stroud offensive priority compresses the structural support around Al-Shaair.

What to watch: Whether Al-Shaair returns to tier 3 (top 25) in 2026 with Houston, the threshold for confirming the 2023-2024 ceiling can be recaptured.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Plays like
on-field production only
Built likeTHIN DATA
measurables only
Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Azeez Al-Shaair Injury StatusQuestionable

Azeez Al-Shaair is listed Questionable (Groin), reported Oct 6. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Azeez Al-Shaair Stats This Season · 3 games

13
Solo Tackles
1
TFL
0
Sacks
0
INT
0
Pass Deflections
0
FF

Draft & College

Undrafted free agent · 2019
Florida Atlantic (Conference USA)
In college · 2016-2018 · 37 games · partial record
301 tackles, 22 TFL, 6.5 sacks, 1 INT

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

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