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PlayerJahlani Tavai · LB, Jacksonville Jaguars, Model Score 72.0Be the Jaguars GM

Jahlani Tavai

Jacksonville Jaguars
Pos LB
Updated September 26, 2026

Model Score

72.0 MODEL
2019
73.7
2020
71.8
2022
77.7
2023
81.5
2024
80.2
2025
70.7

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

2022 tier 3 (#23) STTM peak plus 2023 tier 4 (#25) finish puts Tavai in the structural mid-prime class, but the 2024-2025 decline confirms the structural late-career compression. The Hawaii Mountain West 2nd-round origin plus seven years of NFL development give him real journeyman veteran value. The 2026 question is whether Tavai holds tier 7 or better or whether the role compresses to swing depth.

Tavai came out of Hawaii as the Detroit Lions' 2nd-round pick (43rd overall) in 2019 and bounced through the Lions before signing with the New England Patriots in 2022. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#63) in 2020, tier 3 (#23) in 2022 peak, tier 4 (#25) in 2023, tier 7 (#53) in 2024, and tier 8 (#78) in 2025.

Strengths

  • 2022 tier 3 (#23) STTM peak plus the 2023 tier 4 (#25) finish confirms structural top-25 LB ceiling at peak.
  • Hawaii Mountain West 2nd-round origin plus seven years of NFL survival gives him real veteran market value.

Concerns

  • Two-year regression from tier 4 (#25) in 2023 to tier 8 (#78) in 2025 confirms the structural late-career decline.
  • Patriots' broader defensive identity transition plus the QB rebuild compresses the structural support around Tavai.

What to watch: Whether Tavai holds tier 7 or better in 2026 with the Patriots or whether the role compresses to swing depth.

Comps

Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Jahlani Tavai Injury StatusNot listed

Jahlani Tavai is not on the injury report as of Sep 26. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 43 · Detroit Lions · 2019
Hawai'i (Mountain West)
Taken
#43
where he actually went
Consensus board
113th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#46
among LB in our college data

He went well ahead of consensus.

In college · 2016-2018 · 38 games · partial record
334 tackles, 36 TFL, 14.5 sacks, 2 INT

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

What this pick usually becomes

Of the 320 players taken as a second-rounder between 2012 and 2021, 63% earned a second contract and 58% became starters. The median one started 44 career games.

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