Fred Warner
San Francisco 49ersModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 6 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
Four Pro Bowls plus three 1st-team All-Pros plus two Super Bowl appearances plus the 2025 tier 1 (#3) bounce-back establishes Warner as the best linebacker of his generation. The BYU 3rd-round origin plus eight years of 49ers anchor reps gives him the structural Hall-of-Fame trajectory. The 2026 question is whether Warner wins his first DPOY or whether the broader voting catches up to the multi-year STTM dominance.
Warner came out of BYU as the San Francisco 49ers' 3rd-round pick (70th overall) in 2018. He has made four Pro Bowls (2020-2023) and earned three 1st-team All-Pro selections (2020, 2022, 2023). He played in Super Bowls LIV and LVIII for the 49ers. His STTM career runs tier 3 (#17) in 2021, tier 1 (#4) in 2022, tier 3 (#18) in 2023, tier 7 (#55) in 2024, and tier 1 (#3) bounce-back in 2025.
Strengths
- Four Pro Bowls plus three 1st-team All-Pros plus two Super Bowl appearances establishes a Hall-of-Fame LB résumé.
- BYU 3rd-round origin plus the 2025 tier 1 (#3) bounce-back after the 2024 tier 7 dip confirms the elite ceiling is structural across multiple years.
Concerns
- 2024 tier 7 (#55) dip confirms the structural ceiling can compress under specific defensive context.
- San Francisco's broader defensive identity transition (multiple coordinators) puts continued Warner production partly outside his control.
What to watch: Whether Warner wins his first DPOY in 2026 plus holds tier 1 (top 5), the threshold for closing the Hall-of-Fame résumé case.