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PlayerJustin Strnad · LB, Denver Broncos, Model Score 76.4Be the Broncos GM

Justin Strnad

Denver Broncos
Pos LB
Updated October 8, 2026

Model Score

76.4 MODEL
2021
70.9
2024
76.2
2025
77.1
2026
76.4

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Tier 8 (#63) rookie to tier 4 (#27) breakout in 2024 to tier 5 (#35) in 2025 for a 254th overall pick puts Strnad in the rarest outlier-positive class at the LB position. The Wake Forest ACC 7th-round origin plus the Vance Joseph defensive scheme appears to be the catalyst. The 2026 question is whether Strnad crosses into tier 4 territory or whether the structural tier 5 finish becomes the stable baseline.

Strnad came out of Wake Forest as the Denver Broncos' 7th-round pick (254th overall) in 2020. He spent four years as developmental depth before emerging into a starter role under defensive coordinator Vance Joseph in 2024. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#63) rookie, tier 4 (#27) breakout in 2024, and tier 5 (#35) in 2025.

Strengths

  • Tier 4 (#27) breakout in year five as a 254th overall pick puts him in the rarest outlier-positive class at the LB position.
  • Wake Forest ACC pedigree plus five years of Broncos system experience plus the Vance Joseph scheme creates the structural environment.

Concerns

  • 8-spot regression from tier 4 (#27) in 2024 to tier 5 (#35) in 2025 flags the 2024 finish as potentially context-driven.
  • Denver's broader defensive identity around Vance Joseph's continued tenure puts continued Strnad ceiling partly scheme-dependent.

What to watch: Whether Strnad crosses into tier 4 (top 30) in 2026, the threshold for confirming the 2024 ceiling is structural.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Justin Strnad Injury StatusNot listed

Justin Strnad is not on the injury report as of Oct 7. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Justin Strnad Stats This Season · 3 games

7
Solo Tackles
2
TFL
0
Sacks
0
INT
1
Pass Deflections
0
FF

Draft & College

Round 5, pick 178 · Denver Broncos · 2020
Wake Forest (ACC)
Taken
#178
where he actually went
Consensus board
215th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#166
among LB in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2016-2019 · 48 games · partial record
244 tackles, 22 TFL, 8.0 sacks, 4 INT

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Coming out
4.74s
40 yd
29"
Vertical
113"
Broad
4.49s
Shuttle

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