Kevin Dotson

Los Angeles Rams

Pos RG

Updated October 8, 2026

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Model Score

85.0 MODEL

2021

75.9

2022

84.0

2023

84.0

2024

85.4

2025

86.2

2026

85.0

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Career STTM range mostly in the tier 5-7 band across six years with two teams puts Dotson in the small group of stable mid-prime guards. The $48M Rams extension implies a tier 3-4 ceiling that the on-field STTM rankings haven't matched. The 2026 question is whether Dotson returns to tier 5 territory or whether the 2024-2025 tier 6-7 drift becomes the new baseline that creates contract-value risk.

Dotson came out of Louisiana as the Pittsburgh Steelers' 4th-round pick (135th overall) in 2020 and started three seasons in Pittsburgh before being traded to the Los Angeles Rams in 2023. He signed a three-year, $48M extension with the Rams in 2024 after a strong first season. His STTM career runs tier 5 (#34) in 2021, tier 5 (#36) in 2022 with Pittsburgh, tier 5 (#35) in 2023 with the Rams, tier 7 (#50) in 2024, and tier 6 (#46) in 2025.

Strengths

Six straight years as starting guard across two systems with career STTM range stable in the tier 5-7 band confirms structural starter ceiling.
$48M Rams extension reflects the front office's view that the underlying tape is stronger than the STTM ranking suggests.

Concerns

Career STTM range mostly in tier 5-7 creates a contract-value gap relative to the $48M extension's tier 3-4 implied expectation.
Two-year drift from tier 5 (#35) in 2023 to tier 6 (#46) in 2025 suggests the contract may have priced in a ceiling that's not materializing.

What to watch: Whether Dotson returns to tier 4 or better in 2026, the threshold for closing the gap between contract value and STTM ranking.