Kevin Dotson
Los Angeles RamsModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 15 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
STM Take
Career STTM range mostly in the tier 5-7 band across six years with two teams puts Dotson in the small group of stable mid-prime guards. The $48M Rams extension implies a tier 3-4 ceiling that the on-field STTM rankings haven't matched. The 2026 question is whether Dotson returns to tier 5 territory or whether the 2024-2025 tier 6-7 drift becomes the new baseline that creates contract-value risk.
Dotson came out of Louisiana as the Pittsburgh Steelers' 4th-round pick (135th overall) in 2020 and started three seasons in Pittsburgh before being traded to the Los Angeles Rams in 2023. He signed a three-year, $48M extension with the Rams in 2024 after a strong first season. His STTM career runs tier 5 (#34) in 2021, tier 5 (#36) in 2022 with Pittsburgh, tier 5 (#35) in 2023 with the Rams, tier 7 (#50) in 2024, and tier 6 (#46) in 2025.
Strengths
- Six straight years as starting guard across two systems with career STTM range stable in the tier 5-7 band confirms structural starter ceiling.
- $48M Rams extension reflects the front office's view that the underlying tape is stronger than the STTM ranking suggests.
Concerns
- Career STTM range mostly in tier 5-7 creates a contract-value gap relative to the $48M extension's tier 3-4 implied expectation.
- Two-year drift from tier 5 (#35) in 2023 to tier 6 (#46) in 2025 suggests the contract may have priced in a ceiling that's not materializing.
What to watch: Whether Dotson returns to tier 4 or better in 2026, the threshold for closing the gap between contract value and STTM ranking.