Quinn Meinerz

Denver Broncos

Pos RG

Updated October 8, 2026

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Model Score

93.0 MODEL

2021

74.5

2022

78.5

2023

85.8

2024

99.0

2025

90.7

2026

93.0

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Tier 1 (#8) peak in 2024 plus 1st-team All-Pro recognition to tier 7 (#55) in 2025 is a 47-spot regression that flags injury, scheme shift, or structural collapse needing explanation. The Wisconsin-Whitewater Division III pedigree plus the 2023 Pro Bowl plus the 2024 All-Pro proves an elite ceiling exists. The 2026 question is whether Meinerz returns to tier 2-3 territory or whether the 2025 finish is the structural new baseline.

Meinerz came out of Wisconsin-Whitewater (Division III) as the Denver Broncos' 3rd-round pick (98th overall) in 2021 after his 2021 Senior Bowl performance made him a Day 2 riser despite the small-school origin. He made the 2023 Pro Bowl and earned 2024 1st-team All-Pro honors. His STTM career runs tier 7 (#50) rookie season 2021, tier 7 (#50) in 2022, tier 3 (#23) breakout in 2023, tier 1 (#8) peak in 2024, then tier 7 (#55) collapse in 2025.

Strengths

2024 1st-team All-Pro plus 2023 Pro Bowl plus the 2024 tier 1 (#8) peak as a Division III prospect establishes one of the most outlier-positive trajectories at the guard position.
Wisconsin-Whitewater origin plus the 2021 Senior Bowl breakout gives him the rarest small-school path to All-Pro recognition in recent memory.

Concerns

47-spot regression from tier 1 (#8) in 2024 to tier 7 (#55) in 2025 for an All-Pro guard flags injury, scheme shift, or structural collapse needing root-cause analysis.
Denver's broader offensive line transition (multiple veteran additions, scheme adjustment around Bo Nix) compresses the structural support around Meinerz's All-Pro ceiling.

What to watch: Whether Meinerz returns to tier 3 or better in 2026, the threshold for confirming the 2024 All-Pro peak was structural rather than a one-year context spike.