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Roy Lopez

Arizona Cardinals
Pos IDL
Updated August 24, 2026

Model Score

69.4 MODEL
2021
67.4
2022
68.4
2023
67.4
2024
70.4
2025
69.4

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 17 games

259th
Sacks
676th
Pressures
266th
QB Hits
457th
TFL
3079th
Tackles
030th
FF

Draft & College

Round 6, pick 195 · Houston Texans · 2021
New Mexico State (FBS Independents)
Taken
#195
where he actually went
Consensus board
194th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#791
among IDL in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2018 · 12 games · partial record
4.0 sacks, 12 TFL, 6 pressures, 63 tackles

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Plays like
on-field production only

STM Take

Tier 6 (#41) 2024 Arizona breakout to tier 8 (#67) in 2025 with Detroit is a 26-spot regression that flags the 2024 finish as either context-driven or a one-year peak. The Arizona Pac-12 6th-round origin plus five years of NFL survival give him basic journeyman depth value. The 2026 question is whether Lopez holds tier 7 or better with the Lions or whether the role compresses to swing depth.

Lopez came out of Arizona as the Houston Texans' 6th-round pick (195th overall) in 2021 and bounced through the Texans, Cardinals, and now Lions across five NFL seasons. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#70) in 2023, tier 6 (#41) breakout in 2024 with Arizona, and tier 8 (#67) in 2025 with Detroit.

Strengths

  • 2024 tier 6 (#41) breakout as a 195th overall pick confirms a structural starter ceiling exists in the right team-fit.
  • Five years of NFL survival across three teams gives him basic plug-in veteran depth value.

Concerns

  • 26-spot regression from tier 6 (#41) in 2024 to tier 8 (#67) in 2025 confirms the ceiling is highly team-fit and scheme dependent.
  • Detroit's broader defensive identity around the Hutchinson primary pass-rush priority compresses Lopez's structural snap share.

What to watch: Whether Lopez holds tier 7 or better in 2026 with Detroit or whether the role compresses to swing depth.

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