Roy Lopez
Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 17 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
Tier 6 (#41) 2024 Arizona breakout to tier 8 (#67) in 2025 with Detroit is a 26-spot regression that flags the 2024 finish as either context-driven or a one-year peak. The Arizona Pac-12 6th-round origin plus five years of NFL survival give him basic journeyman depth value. The 2026 question is whether Lopez holds tier 7 or better with the Lions or whether the role compresses to swing depth.
Lopez came out of Arizona as the Houston Texans' 6th-round pick (195th overall) in 2021 and bounced through the Texans, Cardinals, and now Lions across five NFL seasons. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#70) in 2023, tier 6 (#41) breakout in 2024 with Arizona, and tier 8 (#67) in 2025 with Detroit.
Strengths
- 2024 tier 6 (#41) breakout as a 195th overall pick confirms a structural starter ceiling exists in the right team-fit.
- Five years of NFL survival across three teams gives him basic plug-in veteran depth value.
Concerns
- 26-spot regression from tier 6 (#41) in 2024 to tier 8 (#67) in 2025 confirms the ceiling is highly team-fit and scheme dependent.
- Detroit's broader defensive identity around the Hutchinson primary pass-rush priority compresses Lopez's structural snap share.
What to watch: Whether Lopez holds tier 7 or better in 2026 with Detroit or whether the role compresses to swing depth.
