Tanor Bortolini

Indianapolis Colts

Pos C

Updated October 8, 2026

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Model Score

75.3 MODEL

2025

74.8

2026

75.3

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Tier 2 (#9) rookie to tier 4 (#30) sophomore is a 21-spot drop that flags the 2024 breakout as either situational or a year-two ceiling regression. The Wisconsin offensive line pedigree plus the 4th-round draft slot makes the rookie tier 2 finish remarkable, but the 2025 drop demands root-cause analysis. The 2026 question is whether Bortolini returns to tier 2-3 territory or whether the tier 4 finish is the new baseline.

Bortolini came out of Wisconsin as the Indianapolis Colts' 4th-round pick (117th overall) in 2024 after starting at multiple positions for the Badgers. The Colts pressed him into a starter role at center as a rookie when injuries opened the spot, and he delivered a tier 2 (#9) breakout season. His STTM arc tier 2 (#9) rookie to tier 4 (#30) sophomore is a notable second-year decline that needs explanation.

Strengths

Rookie tier 2 (#9) finish at center as a 4th-round pick puts him in the small group of Day 3 IOLs to break top-10 STTM in year one.
Wisconsin offensive line pedigree plus positional flexibility gives him real technical foundation that the rookie finish confirmed translates.

Concerns

21-spot drop from tier 2 (#9) to tier 4 (#30) in year two flags either injury, role shift, or structural regression that needs explanation.
Colts' broader offensive line investment around Quenton Nelson plus the Anthony Richardson context puts the structural support for Bortolini's ceiling at risk.

What to watch: Whether Bortolini returns to tier 2-3 territory in 2026, the threshold for confirming the rookie tier 2 finish was structural.