Games › Redo › What Lost It

Week 10, 2025 · Final

Sean McDermott's Bills lost 30-13 to the Dolphins; these three plays cost the most.

1. Q2 15:00 · 2nd & 11 at the BUF 38

   Tua Tagovailoa hit Jaylen Waddle for a 38-yard touchdown.

   -15 points of win chanceWin chance 62% to 46%

2. Q3 6:05 · 3rd & Goal at the MIA 5

   Josh Allen's pass to Dawson Knox was intercepted by Ifeatu Melifonwu.

   -15 points of win chanceWin chance 26% to 12%

3. Q4 7:19 · 3rd & 1 at the BUF 41

   Josh Allen ran for 15 yards and fumbled; the Dolphins recovered.

   -12 points of win chanceWin chance 19% to 7%

Win chance is the share of games like this one, from that spot, that the team went on to win. Each play shows how far it moved.

See it from the Dolphins side · Every team this week

Other Bills weeks

• Week 5, 2026