Dawson Knox
Buffalo BillsDawson Knox has 9 catches, 42 receiving yards and 1 touchdown in 7 games for the Buffalo Bills this season through Week 8, 2.7 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).
Model Score by season
Down 6.3 from last season.
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
A blocking tight end with occasional red-zone spikes.
The case for
- 2021 tier 2 (#7) finish on 49 catches for 587 yards and 9 touchdowns plus the 2022 4-year, $52M extension establishes real franchise commitment.
- Wks 14 and 15 2025 produced 17.3 and 18.7 PPR, the spike weeks that confirm the red-zone ceiling remains. Pass-protection grades are top-15 at the position.
The worry
- Four straight tier 7-or-worse STTM finishes since the 2021 peak (#36 in 2019, #47 in 2023, #39 in 2024, #28 in 2025) confirms the contract has not been earned on receiving production.
- Career receiving yards per season has trended below 500 since 2022. Josh Allen's preference for spreading targets to Khalil Shakir, James Cook, and the WR room caps Knox's ceiling.
What to watch: Whether Buffalo restructures his contract or releases him for cap savings in 2026, because the 2021 peak production has not been replicated despite four full seasons.
Full take and bio
The 2021 tier 2 (#7) finish was the peak, and the four seasons since have all landed in tier 7-or-worse territory (#47, #39, #28 with one outlier #54). Wks 14 and 15 2025 produced 17.3 and 18.7 PPR, the spike weeks that justify the contract, but six of his other 2025 weeks scored under 11 PPR. He is a defined blocker plus occasional red-zone target.
Knox came out of Ole Miss as Buffalo's 3rd-round pick (96th overall) in 2019 after a college career limited by his time behind A.J. Brown and DK Metcalf in the Ole Miss WR room. His 2021 season produced the career high: tier 2 #7 with 49 catches for 587 yards and 9 touchdowns. He signed a 4-year, $52M extension in August 2022 and has spent the years since fluctuating between tier 8 #39 and #47 finishes as the Bills' WR investments compressed his target share. The 2025 tier 7 #28 finish reflects a modest rebound year.
Comps
The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.
Plays like: Greg DeLong, Alex Smith, Reggie Kelly. Built like: Anthony Fasano, Tucker Kraft, Chris Cooley.
Dawson Knox Props This Weekvs BAL
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 1.5 | +145 Bovada | -190 Bovada |
| Receiving yards | 7.5 | -115 Bovada | -115 Bovada |
Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
Play Dawson's numbers on Underdog · partner link
Dawson Knox Injury StatusNot listed
Dawson Knox is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
This season · 7 games
2.7 fantasy points a game, 19 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.
Contract2026 cap
Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.
Fantasy outlookWeek 9
Our rest-of-season board has Dawson Knox at TE45; the model has 40 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts BAL.
Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.
Draft & College
Round 3, pick 96 to the Buffalo Bills in 2019, out of Ole Miss (SEC). He went about where consensus had him.
In college, 2017-2018, 19 games: 38 rec, 584 yds, 15.4 yds/rec. Coming out: 16 reps bench, 34.5" vertical, 7.12s 3-cone, 4.27s shuttle.