Dawson Knox

Buffalo Bills·#88

Pos TEHt 6'4"Wt 254 lbExp 7 yrCollege Mississippi

Updated September 21, 2026

TE rankings →

Model Score

81.5 MODEL

2019

78.0

2020

76.0

2021

87.7

2022

87.2

2023

79.6

2024

80.8

2025

81.5

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 1 games

Rec

Rec Yds

Rec TD

Targets

7.0

Yds/Gm

1.7

Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

0.291

EPA / target

0.0 yd

Avg separation

0.0 yd

Avg cushion

0.0

YAC over exp

0.0%

Catch %

Draft & College

Round 3, pick 96 · Buffalo Bills · 2019

Ole Miss (SEC)

Taken

#96

where he actually went

Consensus board

126th

average of the public big boards that spring

Our college model

#362

among TE in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2017-2018 · 19 games

38 rec, 584 yds, 15.4 yds/rec

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Coming out

16 reps

Bench

34.5"

Vertical

7.12s

3-cone

4.27s

Shuttle

STM Take

The 2021 tier 2 (#7) finish was the peak, and the four seasons since have all landed in tier 7-or-worse territory (#47, #39, #28 with one outlier #54). Wks 14 and 15 2025 produced 17.3 and 18.7 PPR, the spike weeks that justify the contract, but six of his other 2025 weeks scored under 11 PPR. He is a defined blocker plus occasional red-zone target.

Knox came out of Ole Miss as Buffalo's 3rd-round pick (96th overall) in 2019 after a college career limited by his time behind A.J. Brown and DK Metcalf in the Ole Miss WR room. His 2021 season produced the career high: tier 2 #7 with 49 catches for 587 yards and 9 touchdowns. He signed a 4-year, $52M extension in August 2022 and has spent the years since fluctuating between tier 8 #39 and #47 finishes as the Bills' WR investments compressed his target share. The 2025 tier 7 #28 finish reflects a modest rebound year.

Strengths

2021 tier 2 (#7) finish on 49 catches for 587 yards and 9 touchdowns plus the 2022 4-year, $52M extension establishes real franchise commitment.
Wks 14 and 15 2025 produced 17.3 and 18.7 PPR, the spike weeks that confirm the red-zone ceiling remains. Pass-protection grades are top-15 at the position.

Concerns

Four straight tier 7-or-worse STTM finishes since the 2021 peak (#36 in 2019, #47 in 2023, #39 in 2024, #28 in 2025) confirms the contract has not been earned on receiving production.
Career receiving yards per season has trended below 500 since 2022. Josh Allen's preference for spreading targets to Khalil Shakir, James Cook, and the WR room caps Knox's ceiling.

What to watch: Whether Buffalo restructures his contract or releases him for cap savings in 2026, because the 2021 peak production has not been replicated despite four full seasons.