Jaylen Waddle
Denver Broncos·#17Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 16 games
Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats
STM Take
Waddle's climb back to STTM #11 tier 2 in 2025 (from #46 tier 6 in 2024) restores the 2023 baseline. The career arc has been jagged (tier 4 → tier 2 → tier 6 → tier 2) but the underlying speed-and-separation profile has not regressed. The Denver move for 2026 puts him with Bo Nix in a system designed for vertical receivers.
Waddle was born in Houston, attended Episcopal in Bellaire, and was the 2019 SEC Special Teams Player of the Year at Alabama plus a CFP national champion in 2020. The Dolphins took him sixth overall in the 2021 NFL Draft. Career line is 373 catches for 5,039 yards and 26 receiving TDs across five seasons. He signed with the Denver Broncos for 2026.
Strengths
- 35-rank improvement from 2024 to 2025; the largest WR rebound in the top tier this year.
- Career 373 catches for 5,039 yards through five seasons; the per-game volume is one of the highest in the field at age 27.
Concerns
- Career line is volatile: two tier-2 finishes, one tier-4, one tier-6; the floor is real.
- Denver move resets the QB ecosystem; Tua's career stats are not Bo Nix's, and the system fit is unproven.
What to watch: Whether Bo Nix's 2026 passing volume rises with Waddle in the deep slot; the system marriage is the entire bullish case.
Fantasy Outlook
Jaylen Waddle scored 194 PPR points, 12.1 per game this season. Compare him against any WR and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.