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Jaylen Waddle

WR·Denver Broncos·#17·5'10"·182 lb·5th year·Alabama
Tier 2Round 1, pick 6 in 2021
Updated November 4, 2026
81.1
Model Score
Down from 86.7 last year
Trade value ·a late 1st

Jaylen Waddle has 29 catches, 315 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns in 8 games for the Denver Broncos this season through Week 8, 9.3 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 5.6 from last season.

70809081.1202120222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A separation receiver back near the top after a jagged ride.

The case for

  • 35-rank improvement from 2024 to 2025; the largest WR rebound in the top tier this year.
  • Career 373 catches for 5,039 yards through five seasons; the per-game volume is one of the highest in the field at age 27.

The worry

  • Career line is volatile: two tier-2 finishes, one tier-4, one tier-6; the floor is real.
  • Denver move resets the QB ecosystem; Tua's career stats are not Bo Nix's, and the system fit is unproven.

What to watch: Whether Bo Nix's 2026 passing volume rises with Waddle in the deep slot; the system marriage is the entire bullish case.

Full take and bio

Waddle's climb back to STTM #11 tier 2 in 2025 (from #46 tier 6 in 2024) restores the 2023 baseline. The career arc has been jagged (tier 4 → tier 2 → tier 6 → tier 2) but the underlying speed-and-separation profile has not regressed. The Denver move for 2026 puts him with Bo Nix in a system designed for vertical receivers.

Waddle was born in Houston, attended Episcopal in Bellaire, and was the 2019 SEC Special Teams Player of the Year at Alabama plus a CFP national champion in 2020. The Dolphins took him sixth overall in the 2021 NFL Draft. Career line is 373 catches for 5,039 yards and 26 receiving TDs across five seasons. He signed with the Denver Broncos for 2026.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Greg Little, Eddie Royal, Quincy Enunwa. Coming out: Jarius Wright, Keke Coutee, Deon Butler.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 2 stars, 6 starters, 11 backups, 1 didn't stick.

Jaylen Waddle Props This Weekat CAR Sun Nov 8

MarketLineOverUnder
Receptions3.5-135 Bovada+105 Bovada
Receiving yards38.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada
Anytime TD+175 DraftKings

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Jaylen's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Jaylen Waddle Injury StatusNot listed

Jaylen Waddle is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 8 games

Rec2930th
Rec Yds31539th
Rec TD225th
Targets5320th
Yds/Gm39.446th
Fantasy PPG9.340th
EPA / target0.81044th
Avg separation3.6 yd5th
Avg cushion6.6 yd
YAC over exp-0.143rd
Catch %56.6%

9.3 fantasy points a game, 75 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$4.9M
APY
$28.2M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$36.0M
Years on Deal
5
Signed
2024
Est. Value
$31.1M/yr
underpaid by $2.9M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Jaylen Waddle at WR37 (the public consensus says WR40); the model has 94 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits CAR.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 6 to the Miami Dolphins in 2021, out of Alabama (SEC). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#6
Consensus board8th
Our college model#12 WR

In college, 2018-2020, 33 games: 106 rec, 2,007 yds, 17 TD, 18.9 yds/rec.

Recruited

Class of 2018 · Receiver · High school: Episcopal, Bellaire, TX

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 39 in the nation. Composite 0.9791, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
Alabama

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2018 class are still being added.

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