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Week 3 · Monday Sep 28 · Final

EaglesatBears

All week 3 games→Betting HQ→
FinalPHI 7, CHI 27Bears by 20
SpreadPHI -3.5Bears covered
Total42.5stayed under, 34 points
OpenedCHI -1.5moved 2 points by kickoff

The passing game. Expect the Eagles to find nowhere to throw.

Sunday: Eagles threw for 153 yards and 0 touchdowns.

The model's reads, Over 43.5: it lost.

The depth charts as they stand today.

Philadelphia depth chart →Chicago depth chart →

Bears pass defense, 2nd, against a passing game ranked 25th.

Longer bar, better unit.

Eagles with the ball

Eagles offenseBears defense
25th
Passing
2nd
24th
Run game
28th
18th
Pass rush
8th
20th
Third down
1st
32nd
Big plays
18th
10th
Turnovers
9th
3rd
Red zone
12th

Bears with the ball

Bears offenseEagles defense
6th
Passing
23rd
12th
Run game
24th
6th
Pass rush
32nd
8th
Third down
12th
5th
Big plays
17th
22nd
Turnovers
27th
21st
Red zone
14th

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 9 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.

Eagles scored 7 against a team total of 23: under.

Eagles scored 7 against a team total of 23: under. the spread and total, split.

Bears scored 27 against a team total of 19.5: over. the spread and total, split.

The situations on the schedule that fit this game.

This week · Bears against a team that has missed three straight covers on Monday with the worse quarterback by two tiers
16-11
this game200020052010201520202025
16 covered11 did notevery game since 1999, 59%

The last time the Bears were here, Dec 11, 2006: beat the STL by 15 as a 6-point favorite.

Inside the luck line: 27 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Bears.

This week · The total on Monday with a backup quarterback on the field
37-53
this game200020052010201520202025
37 went over53 stayed underevery game since 1999, 41%; since 2021 8-12

Inside the luck line: 90 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the under.

This week · The total in the first four weeks in prime time with a backup quarterback on the field
17-23
this game200020052010201520202025
17 went over23 stayed underevery game since 1999, 42%; since 2021 6-5

Inside the luck line: 40 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the under.

Searched this week: 1,571 spread situations and 77 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.03 on the spread and 3.35 on the total.

No player line on this game was archived with a read.

Graded: Small plays went 0-1; Watching went 2-0.

Over 42.5Small play, 1ulost -1u
A rule: wind gusts 21 mph or less; the opponent's injury cost 13 or more. Stamped Sun 11:06 PM ET.
Colston Loveland under 36.5 receiving yards (-115 at Bovada)Watching, not a betwon, 31 receiving yards
His history: under 36.5 in 4 of 5 in prime time outdoors. Stamped Sun 11:06 PM ET.
Jalen Hurts over 24.5 rushing yards (-110 at Bovada)Watching, not a betwon, 25 rushing yards
His history: over 24.5 in 23 of 33 games. Stamped Sun 11:06 PM ET.
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