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Luther Burden III

Chicago Bears·#10UNDERPAID
Pos WRHt 6'0"Wt 210 lbExp 1 yrCollege Missouri
Updated September 21, 2026

Model Score

77.1 MODEL
Resting on limited playing time

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 1 games

5
Rec
63
Rec Yds
0
Rec TD
5
Targets
63.0
Yds/Gm
11.5
Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

0.309
EPA / target
2.8 yd
Avg separation
10.6 yd
Avg cushion
2.1
YAC over exp
100.0%
Catch %

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 39 · Chicago Bears · 2025
Missouri (SEC)
Taken
#39
where he actually went
Consensus board
29th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#4
among WR in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2022-2024 · 37 games
181 rec, 2,124 yds, 17 TD, 11.7 yds/rec

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Coming out
4.41s
40 yd

Comps

College career
his college career vs theirs

STM Take

Burden at STTM #36 tier 5 as a rookie behind the Bears' WR1/WR2 of Odunze and D.J. Moore is the role-share story of a top-50 pick stuck behind two established starters. The college tape (1,212-yard SEC freshman year) is one of the best in the 2025 class. The year-two case opens up if D.J. Moore's Buffalo departure clears a target lane.

Burden was born in St. Louis, attended East St. Louis Senior High in Illinois, and was a top-5 national recruit out of high school. He played at Missouri where he was a two-time first-team All-SEC selection, including a 1,212-yard 2023 season. Chicago took him 39th overall in the 2025 NFL Draft. Rookie line: 47 catches for 652 yards and 2 TDs alongside Rome Odunze and D.J. Moore.

Strengths

  • Two-time first-team All-SEC at Missouri including a 1,212-yard 2023 season; the college ceiling is real.
  • Top-50 draft capital plus a 5-star recruit pedigree; the talent profile is among the best in the 2025 class.

Concerns

  • Rookie 47 catches on 652 yards reflects a part-time role; the carry share never expanded.
  • Caleb Williams's tier-5 QB rank capped the team-level passing volume for the entire WR room.

What to watch: Whether D.J. Moore's BUF departure clears a WR2 role for Burden alongside Odunze in 2026; the system fit is the bullish case.

Fantasy Outlook

Luther Burden III scored 12 PPR points, 11.5 per game this season. Compare him against any WR and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.

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