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PlayerJalen Hurts · QB, Philadelphia Eagles, Model Score 87.2Be the Eagles GM

Jalen Hurts

Philadelphia Eagles·#1
Pos QBHt 6'1"Wt 223 lbExp 6 yrCollege Oklahoma
Updated October 9, 2026

Model Score

87.2 MODEL
2020
79.0
2021
86.2
2022
96.0
2023
90.7
2024
89.0
2025
86.7
2026
87.2

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Hurts is the reigning Super Bowl MVP at STTM #14 tier 4, an outcome only possible because the STTM profile leans on passing volume that Philadelphia has actively compressed. The team has built around the QB sneak and the run game; the resume is built on January. Tier 4 looks like an underrated rank if you weight Super Bowl wins, and exactly right if you weight regular-season passing efficiency, which the model does.

Hurts was born in Houston, won SEC Offensive Player of the Year as an Alabama freshman in 2016, transferred to Oklahoma for his senior year, and finished a Heisman runner-up. Philadelphia drafted him 53rd overall in 2020, and he has since won Super Bowl LIX and its Most Valuable Player award, earned three Pro Bowls, the 2022 Bert Bell Award, and second-team All-Pro honors in 2022. He owns the NFL record for rushing touchdowns in a single Super Bowl by a quarterback and ranks among the all-time top rushing-TD totals at the position.

Strengths

  • Super Bowl LIX champion and MVP, with 63 career rushing TDs the second-most ever by a quarterback.
  • Three Pro Bowls and a second-team All-Pro in his first six seasons, all as a 2nd-round pick.

Concerns

  • STTM rank slipped from #8 tier 2 in 2024 to #14 tier 4 in 2025; the passing component of his game is where the rank lives.
  • 64.4 percent career completion percentage on 2,393 attempts is the lowest in the top eight of the 2025 board.

What to watch: Whether Philadelphia stretches the passing menu back open in 2026, or stays committed to the run-heavy script that lifted them to a ring.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Famous comp
names you know, same point in their careers (around year 7)
Built like
measurables only, his size
Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Names you know nearby: Jake Locker ’11 59%.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 5 stars, 4 starters, 7 backups, 4 didn't stick.

Jalen Hurts Props This Weekat JAX Sun Oct 11

MarketLineOverUnder
Passing yards185.5-114 FanDuel-114 FanDuel
Passing TDs0.5-176 DraftKings+155 BetRivers
Completions18.5-106 DraftKings+100 BetMGM
Pass attempts31.5-102 BetOnline-119 DraftKings
Interceptions0.5-114 BetRivers+105 Bovada
Rushing yards26.5-113 DraftKings-109 BetOnline
Carries6.5+100 DraftKings-128 DraftKings
Longest rush11.5-117 DraftKings-111 DraftKings
Anytime TD+195 FanDuel

Best price across 9 books as of Fri Oct 9. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Jalen's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Jalen Hurts Injury StatusNot listed

Jalen Hurts is not on the injury report as of Oct 9. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Jalen Hurts Stats This Season · 4 games

713
Pass Yds
7
Pass TD
3
INT
59.6%
Comp %
105
Rush Yds
1
Rush TD
16.8
Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

-14.6
Total EPA
-0.100
EPA / dropback
3.18s
Time to throw
8.6
Avg air yards
8.8%
Aggressiveness
53 yd
Longest comp (air)

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 53 · Philadelphia Eagles · 2020
Oklahoma (Big 12)
Taken
#53
where he actually went
Consensus board
58th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#120
among QB in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2016-2019 · 56 games
9,211 pass yds, 82 TD, 19 INT, 61.3% completions

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Coming out
4.59s
40 yd
35"
Vertical
125"
Broad

Jalen Hurts Fantasy Outlook

Jalen Hurts scored 67 PPR points, 16.8 per game this season. Compare him against any QB and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.

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